TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c54…da75backed No77c14,998$11,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,519.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes21c14,665$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,597.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed No0c9,637$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed No1c5,617$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2260%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No22c4,229$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.573345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes66c3,885$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.28939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No38c2,921$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes78c2,843$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.522020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes39c2,658$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.459219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No76c2,144$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.058330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes21c1,803$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.815420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c1,535$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.713219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes78c1,469$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.911776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No76c1,443$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.1214356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes37c1,072$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.1212523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes19c1,032$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.53119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked No39c1,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed No68c773.15$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.873420.6%7 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes28c719.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf638…8c7abacked Yes74c642.9$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.891478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a6…aac8backed No79c630.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes22c627.77$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.668027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No36c509.8$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.392512%3 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes23c499.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.977433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Yes23c428.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+328.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes17c412.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.96827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked No19c400$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes14c358.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9615922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes18c340.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.185255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes48c320$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.394228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd985…d2f5backed Yes29c312.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No77c302.24$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.536835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2494242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed No67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes8c250$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes15c249.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.29147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc26…24d0backed Yes20c248.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab03…550cbacked No73c245.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No13c244.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.78570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e7…5e17backed Yes5c238.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.711100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,939.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c62…44b4backed Yes45c214.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Yes24c208.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f76…7888backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid+35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2067…605dbacked No73c174.59$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes28c172.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.752828.6%8 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No29c171$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.583339.4%13 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…4d0bbacked Yes23c163.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e18…a376backed Yes24c161.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+322.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No76c144$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4410051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c14…af5fbacked Yes64c140.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83f2…85babacked Yes18c138.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.182128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a0…aaedbacked Yes21c136.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+148.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba7…1ba3backed Yes23c129.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No76c126.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.521337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes57c111.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.321838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…0149backed Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.111625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x55a0…7ab4backed Yes21c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ef…4a30backed No22c91.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f0…1d25backed No77c89.84$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x902d…0066backed Yes24c84.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+321.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes58c80.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd673…1b22backed Yes22c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45717.5%10 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32c…d1bdbacked Yes72c77.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.351050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No75c75.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.385763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…da90backed Yes62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.811855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…f5e8backed Yes22c67.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.971435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ce…dea1backed Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6449backed No52c57.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Yes25c50.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6554…bbd6backed Yes80c50.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71dd…fb73backed Yes69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Yes23c49.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.493565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd02d…17e8backed No71c44.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbe…4dd6backed Yes44c43.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x157e…7acabacked No72c41.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ce…c83abacked Yes32c40.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564a…ad99backed No77c35.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa78…7248backed No50c31.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.563511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c70…e930backed Yes75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…672abacked No70c28.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No65c25.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.363571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes59c23.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x608a…2025backed No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No75c18.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.