TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed No70c14,606$10,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,325.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes37c10,131$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.416225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c9,035$5,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.92378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes35c7,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No64c6,479$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.5714356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No67c5,379$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.138330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…1588backed Yes38c5,000$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No72c4,891$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.593345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes34c3,915$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.719219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…994dbacked Yes41c3,843$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.491225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes34c3,221$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.295759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c3,121$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.9212353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes23c3,103$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.673420.6%7 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes6c3,039$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.741010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes32c2,667$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.54134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No57c2,444$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.92650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes18c2,325$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.677115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7606100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.994348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No62c1,469$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.827433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes3c1,385$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.59570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes11c1,243$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.873339.4%13 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes11c1,200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.53713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yes34c1,179$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.79742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes36c1,150$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.584228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes5c1,140$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.678939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No66c1,012$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.222669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3596…6c81backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked No64c999.97$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.995521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No64c837.72$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.216866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes39c765.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes18c706.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.241827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes13c599.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ef…4a30backed Yes21c560.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes30c550$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No65c537.54$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1421337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No74c531.31$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes34c522.8$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.755137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes36c481.81$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.45137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No62c463.56$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1520843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f0…1d25backed Yes33c459.27$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed No68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No76c439.2$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.061478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No70c436.65$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1315959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes15c421.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6115922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes33c394.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.241050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes33c394$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.477028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc26…24d0backed No66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes30c374.79$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.522025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes32c339.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.541723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes6c328.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No64c321.81$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5214458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes12c312.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes36c311.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.562661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed Yes35c290.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed No70c256.41$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.952040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes33c250$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes41c244.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea29…21dfbacked Yes41c241.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No78c235.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0c…0a49backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbe…4dd6backed Yes5c230.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Yes33c215$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.95837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Yes37c200.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab03…550cbacked Yes36c192.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes36c183.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.985420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf002…9048backed Yes8c169.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes9c164.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6515932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…4d0bbacked Yes33c159.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Yes36c152$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.526136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…451fbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed No62c149.95$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.693215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…9027backed Yes36c134.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b40…9ebfbacked Yes25c132.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes33c128$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7612325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Yes41c123.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b43…d030backed Yes36c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d44…d9adbacked Yes42c116.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No59c114.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.893571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes35c111.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.04147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Yes40c108.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No72c105.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.253571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes36c100.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x825f…da87backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No66c92.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.494673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xecb4…9c38backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x112a…c789backed No59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes37c88.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7210051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No72c88.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.995763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8338…8be1backed Yes46c87.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.