TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x112a…c789

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Movies, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$13.4
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$14.2
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$15.8
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$10.6
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+100%+$10
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+85.2%+$13.8
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$12.3
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$10.2
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$12.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Saints draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will Jaxson Dart get drafted by the Giants?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted by the Raiders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.13
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will TJ Watt win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+135.4%+$40.26
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10.98
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$15.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
Pereira vs. Magomedovbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.2
Amorim vs. Vianabacked Viana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+49.3%+$9.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+142%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+90.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.31
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$43.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+614.3%+$103.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$24.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankfurt beat FC Midtjylland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.