TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Sergei Bobrovsky win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,670 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b6a…c8cdbacked Yes2c2,149$49 inLost-$48.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes24c200$49 inLost-$48.52948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No75c192$144 inWon+$481,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes15c101$15 inLost-$15.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes19c99.99$19 inLost-$19.125340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…522fbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x112a…c789backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost-$15425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No76c41.83$32 inWon+$10.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No78c32.92$26 inWon+$7.3576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.