Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb232b902eb9d8aa18cd7923e1f35485711d9ee4434f41e99cf2380269bff0b7a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,620,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,719,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,620,126 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 681 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	0c	150,899$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.9	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8150…d03fbacked Yes	6c	131,092$7,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,698	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	22cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed Yes	1c	50,117$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.25	432	12.5%54 W · 378 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	4c	46,044$1,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913.78	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes	5c	39,011$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.76	353	47%166 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes	4c	33,338$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.13	404	33.7%136 W · 268 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	3c	30,700$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.99	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	3c	24,918$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.9	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	0c	22,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes	4c	20,321$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.26	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+10.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes	7c	19,716$1,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.04	356	31.7%113 W · 243 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	18,743$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.31	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf45…ed5fbacked Yes	5c	18,581$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	18,300$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.28	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3df…6f87backed Yes	6c	17,635$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.06	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0240…8a61backed Yes	0c	16,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes	5c	16,403$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.77	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed Yes	4c	15,565$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.23	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78cf…c9aabacked Yes	3c	15,278$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	15,107$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.26	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes	4c	15,064$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.38	255	18%46 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes	3c	15,044$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.01	377	40.1%151 W · 226 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8102…d50abacked Yes	5c	14,338$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.75	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	3c	14,283$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.57	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	13,999$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	13,895$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.03	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc410…9201backed Yes	4c	13,772$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.54	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	4c	13,519$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.61	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	1c	12,869$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.74	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69cb…ae37backed Yes	7c	12,861$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9537…a2f1backed Yes	5c	12,611$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb31…e5afbacked Yes	5c	12,459$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.65	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	12,372$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.29	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bea…7d80backed Yes	5c	12,354$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.14	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes	5c	12,022$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.95	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e8…0838backed Yes	1c	11,694$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.37	41	24.4%10 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…f440backed Yes	4c	11,498$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.33	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…dfbebacked Yes	5c	10,674$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1287…e491backed Yes	5c	10,413$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.27	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	3c	10,216$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.45	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83e0…53e6backed Yes	3c	10,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes	4c	10,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c3…a742backed Yes	12c	9,944$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81cf…81b1backed Yes	5c	9,719$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4498…078dbacked Yes	5c	9,548$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.82	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.7wins	-0.17per pick	21cpaid	-91.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	9,536$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.21	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f0…afc6backed Yes	5c	9,002$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e7…886ebacked Yes	4c	8,738$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.81	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1897…34cbbacked Yes	8c	8,572$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.28	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	5c	8,500$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.6	191	19.9%38 W · 153 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	4c	8,304$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.44	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	5c	8,161$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.3	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes	3c	8,000$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	86	7%6 W · 80 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	4c	7,844$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.62	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa087…3dbdbacked Yes	5c	7,810$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.14	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed Yes	5c	7,612$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.66	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05cb…f625backed Yes	6c	7,588$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	9cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	4c	7,457$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.41	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes	2c	7,267$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.36	72	0%0 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	4c	7,252$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.56	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b82…b4e0backed Yes	7c	7,113$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.2	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc921…7dd6backed Yes	5c	6,962$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	7c	6,955$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba4…8c4fbacked Yes	9c	6,272$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ab…d2febacked Yes	8c	5,963$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b4…4412backed Yes	5c	5,945$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa3…a339backed Yes	6c	5,867$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	4c	5,750$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.47	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf518…1e76backed Yes	8c	5,695$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.84	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fa…5e4ebacked Yes	2c	5,675$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.99	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Yes	4c	5,636$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.88	68	4.4%3 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb21…e043backed Yes	4c	5,629$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca2…4b79backed Yes	3c	5,593$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.52	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…f793backed Yes	5c	5,400$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80a…a38ebacked Yes	5c	5,320$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.68	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes	6c	5,204$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb710…6639backed Yes	3c	5,000$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.1	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes	4c	5,000$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e93…78bcbacked Yes	2c	5,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	4c	4,917$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.84	442	24.4%108 W · 334 L	+22.2wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd292…8ce5backed Yes	5c	4,906$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.21	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes	1c	4,877$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae12…4271backed Yes	3c	4,857$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Yes	4c	4,762$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	136	17.6%24 W · 112 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…104bbacked Yes	13c	4,732$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ef…fcf5backed Yes	5c	4,592$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.87	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b1…fccbbacked Yes	4c	4,518$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.41	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3680…a456backed Yes	3c	4,500$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.9	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Yes	7c	4,486$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…4a1cbacked Yes	5c	4,291$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8290…7fccbacked Yes	6c	4,261$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	4c	4,234$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.16	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1908…e5f7backed Yes	3c	4,150$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b1…b4adbacked Yes	5c	4,140$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.97	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf926…c854backed Yes	3c	4,100$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes	2c	4,084$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.14	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01da…6283backed Yes	4c	4,036$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.64	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes	3c	4,000$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.99	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d18…e972backed Yes	3c	3,880$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7358…bf79backed Yes	4c	3,855$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.98	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event