Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ea9d130ab1b9fcadcbe1d0c64457448ad118536cfef7a2032a7244a7fb630f

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 29, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,541,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,083,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,541,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x53e5…6177backed Yes	2c	115,961$1,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,755.37	138	23.2%32 W · 106 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	2c	113,593$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,309.67	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	2c	27,437$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.54	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Yes	2c	24,660$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.11	136	17.6%24 W · 112 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…135abacked Yes	5c	23,455$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.77	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	2c	23,199$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.68	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…cb66backed Yes	0c	20,750$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	17,180$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.84	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	1c	16,483$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.89	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c37…826ebacked Yes	0c	15,932$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbadd…d90bbacked Yes	0c	14,651$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	0c	14,605$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.86	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	14,500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	2c	14,061$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.52	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa393…93fcbacked Yes	0c	13,233$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes	3c	13,209$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.12	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	6cpaid	+163.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	2c	12,691$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.1	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	2c	12,540$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.68	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8546…7eb9backed Yes	0c	12,016$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae4…bdfebacked Yes	2c	11,850$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.45	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f77…8f65backed Yes	3c	11,600$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…3994backed Yes	4c	11,499$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.87	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0293…a107backed Yes	0c	10,866$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3df…6f87backed Yes	2c	10,830$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.11	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…5df3backed Yes	2c	10,812$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc714…4141backed Yes	2c	10,800$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.51	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Yes	3c	10,695$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.74	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…2038backed Yes	2c	10,065$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.05	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+200.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a2…6a59backed Yes	2c	9,353$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6a7bbacked Yes	0c	9,221$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes	6c	8,461$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	8,430$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.48	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	8,293$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.03	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes	4c	8,000$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.44	86	7%6 W · 80 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes	1c	7,925$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.8	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-45%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	7,713$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.83	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccaa…705ebacked Yes	1c	7,566$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	7,400$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.91	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df8…2f76backed Yes	15c	7,306$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	1c	7,113$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.25	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b1…b4adbacked Yes	3c	7,038$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…8e70backed Yes	3c	7,023$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x75cc…b75abacked Yes	1c	7,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes	2c	6,882$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd97…e190backed Yes	7c	6,779$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	28cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8197backed Yes	2c	6,444$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	2c	6,336$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.27	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	5,857$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.63	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	2c	5,788$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.96	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes	2c	5,774$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.03	255	18%46 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x426d…6669backed Yes	2c	5,672$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.99	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	2c	5,501$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.37	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes	1c	5,218$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.34	45	0%0 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8102…d50abacked Yes	5c	4,865$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	4,832$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	228	2.6%6 W · 222 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes	1c	4,803$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.28	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+17.8wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	2c	4,775$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.03	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d79…6e71backed Yes	2c	4,712$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes	1c	4,687$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x552e…86c6backed Yes	2c	4,520$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.87	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e89…c03bbacked Yes	4c	4,503$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	2c	4,405$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.64	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes	2c	4,122$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes	1c	4,000$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.28	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes	2c	4,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes	3c	3,962$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd292…8ce5backed Yes	2c	3,651$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a81…420fbacked Yes	2c	3,565$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3407…ba74backed Yes	2c	3,535$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	+270.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	1c	3,501$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ea…6f36backed Yes	1c	3,462$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2e…b704backed Yes	3c	3,362$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c8…698abacked Yes	0c	3,312$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…9309backed Yes	3c	3,284$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7a…6875backed Yes	3c	3,147$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.94	75	20%15 W · 60 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	2c	3,127$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.42	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd973…643fbacked Yes	1c	3,090$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.85	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84c9…65f1backed Yes	1c	3,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ee…9439backed Yes	2c	2,892$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes	2c	2,832$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.07	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf55c…0afebacked Yes	2c	2,731$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes	2c	2,730$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.72	72	0%0 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a9…41d1backed Yes	2c	2,681$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	2c	2,617$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec1…f613backed Yes	2c	2,576$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0faf…ca6abacked Yes	2c	2,415$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes	2c	2,400$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab06…689bbacked Yes	3c	2,354$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.46	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x692d…97afbacked Yes	4c	2,350$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.37	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	1c	2,295$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.19	170	3.5%6 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a5…d9e6backed Yes	2c	2,251$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcca2…4b79backed Yes	2c	2,231$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…9451backed Yes	3c	2,206$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes	2c	2,196$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	10%5 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	3c	2,164$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5236…ab18backed Yes	5c	2,159$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…be9bbacked Yes	2c	2,152$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.04	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x978a…804fbacked Yes	3c	2,138$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.37	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Yes	3c	2,078$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60bb…d33fbacked Yes	5c	2,019$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event