Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53ae76973ece475c9e375ff9aa80bff1bd1119abd8ab38d7d689e76d9238686

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,188,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $931,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,188,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	0c	129,638$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.21	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d79…6e71backed Yes	0c	78,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes	1c	75,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	138	23.2%32 W · 106 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05ad…d7c8backed Yes	1c	54,378$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.43	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f8…32f9backed Yes	1c	41,090$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.97	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01da…6283backed Yes	2c	29,595$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.51	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x831b…2b6cbacked Yes	1c	26,857$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ed…0006backed Yes	0c	25,057$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes	1c	23,076$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.73	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	7cpaid	+212.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8852…d180backed Yes	2c	13,835$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	2c	12,751$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.56	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	1c	11,902$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.86	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8992…40dbbacked Yes	1c	11,569$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.38	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-87.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	11,565$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.66	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes	2c	11,050$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.96	563	36.6%206 W · 357 L	+44.4wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes	2c	10,374$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.08	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	1c	10,143$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.57	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9be6…a799backed Yes	1c	10,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	9,477$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.21	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	7,616$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.64	228	2.6%6 W · 222 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	1c	7,561$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.55	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	1c	7,355$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.81	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94f…1e94backed Yes	2c	6,832$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes	1c	6,798$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2b…b71ebacked Yes	2c	5,980$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.53	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	1c	5,783$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.03	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70c2…186ebacked Yes	2c	5,557$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes	1c	5,421$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.32	45	0%0 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef4…520dbacked Yes	1c	4,795$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	3c	4,651$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.9	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc921…7dd6backed Yes	2c	4,604$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ea…6f36backed Yes	1c	4,123$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6393…4b2dbacked Yes	2c	4,077$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d68…7960backed Yes	1c	4,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	1c	3,797$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.41	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes	1c	3,675$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.79	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	1c	3,586$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9286…a77dbacked Yes	2c	3,531$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.81	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa2…0379backed Yes	1c	3,375$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	3,320$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.42	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	2c	3,238$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.81	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb720…0574backed Yes	2c	3,064$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.46	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-90.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes	2c	3,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	+14.8wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes	2c	2,869$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.65	162	25.9%42 W · 120 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd973…643fbacked Yes	1c	2,854$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.26	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef9…7e63backed Yes	2c	2,853$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.63	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ee…9439backed Yes	2c	2,815$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	4c	2,800$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.24	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	1c	2,782$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9150…26f4backed Yes	2c	2,524$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes	1c	2,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25db…c75ebacked Yes	2c	2,436$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	2c	2,348$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5660…0593backed Yes	2c	2,262$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.63	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed Yes	4c	2,237$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Yes	2c	2,228$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	2,208$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.33	238	4.6%11 W · 227 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ed…b22ebacked Yes	2c	2,142$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04db…d019backed Yes	3c	2,065$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x706f…12b3backed Yes	2c	2,057$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	3c	1,972$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.83	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	1c	1,910$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792e…4d66backed Yes	1c	1,905$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…974dbacked Yes	1c	1,861$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3b…a86cbacked Yes	2c	1,830$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c8…698abacked Yes	2c	1,810$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x978e…8e24backed Yes	1c	1,770$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+99.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	1c	1,758$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes	2c	1,696$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.27	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-45%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3302…79c0backed Yes	1c	1,650$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	57	0%0 W · 57 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6095…b9fbbacked Yes	3c	1,619$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b52…4338backed Yes	2c	1,581$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes	2c	1,571$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.31	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9a…eee1backed Yes	2c	1,539$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1557…87c4backed Yes	1c	1,438$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a0…dd1dbacked Yes	3c	1,412$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9359…4aeebacked Yes	3c	1,400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.93	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…17ddbacked Yes	2c	1,368$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	64	7.8%5 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cfe…fb24backed Yes	2c	1,311$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d63…115cbacked Yes	2c	1,269$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eee…0a68backed Yes	4c	1,218$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7192…7169backed Yes	2c	1,200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4200…7545backed Yes	2c	1,184$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed Yes	2c	1,173$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	432	12.5%54 W · 378 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a10…ba54backed Yes	2c	1,136$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04c…d350backed Yes	2c	1,129$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5495…d542backed Yes	4c	1,108$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f6…f1b1backed Yes	1c	1,071$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea98…8626backed Yes	5c	1,067$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc8…fc00backed Yes	2c	1,038$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f58…a6ecbacked Yes	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	2c	999.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e93…78bcbacked Yes	3c	999.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d3…8b64backed Yes	2c	999.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…272dbacked Yes	1c	999.94$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…1082backed Yes	1c	999.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…07edbacked Yes	2c	968.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes	3c	931.8$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5ac…9dfbbacked Yes	2c	920.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event