Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7e180aab883cb74f958e78666a2a2c456ca4a5e02252ae152b3edc976b24ff

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,460,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,310,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,460,613 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x53e5…6177backed Yes	3c	75,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	138	23.2%32 W · 106 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70f2…445ebacked Yes	0c	47,165$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	3c	40,625$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.59	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes	0c	36,003$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.33	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfed4…c735backed Yes	3c	25,086$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.88	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…41e2backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5848…b7cabacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	3c	17,716$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.76	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb710…6639backed Yes	11c	15,170$1,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677.32	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed Yes	1c	14,583$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	432	12.5%54 W · 378 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	2c	13,552$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.13	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0c…2cabbacked Yes	0c	12,537$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	3c	11,830$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.56	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes	2c	11,627$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.67	104	35.6%37 W · 67 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	11,312$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.28	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426d…6669backed Yes	4c	11,209$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	10,714$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.34	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes	6c	10,000$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.43	72	0%0 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0260…b0a4backed Yes	6c	9,470$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	3c	9,221$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	8,968$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.73	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	8,949$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.76	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x978a…804fbacked Yes	8c	8,149$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.72	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc622…fbcdbacked Yes	0c	8,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…b571backed Yes	9c	7,016$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	7,006$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.43	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	3c	6,793$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.56	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc1…d84dbacked Yes	5c	6,569$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc921…7dd6backed Yes	3c	6,562$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	6,221$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.37	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes	4c	6,142$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.66	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbce…a28bbacked Yes	5c	6,061$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd73…f3e4backed Yes	4c	5,722$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	5,397$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.48	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	5,359$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.3	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes	3c	5,254$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.81	255	18%46 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes	8c	5,226$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.64	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	3c	5,201$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.03	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1897…34cbbacked Yes	6c	5,104$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	5,035$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.26	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	3c	4,867$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.02	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	4c	4,712$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.06	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…135abacked Yes	2c	4,583$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.19	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1287…e491backed Yes	4c	4,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3af…6fb8backed Yes	6c	4,230$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	4,207$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.69	238	4.6%11 W · 227 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes	2c	4,205$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.84	60	0%0 W · 60 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	2c	4,200$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.77	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes	4c	4,134$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.57	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfbe…c93cbacked Yes	7c	4,124$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+9.6wins	+0.23per pick	23cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes	4c	4,100$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.2	145	20.7%30 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-40%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e93…78bcbacked Yes	2c	4,009$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.08	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes	1c	4,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-45%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485a…21cbbacked Yes	6c	3,859$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.69	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x426e…acd0backed Yes	2c	3,842$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.34	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	24cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972c…9492backed Yes	10c	3,807$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae12…4271backed Yes	3c	3,705$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05ad…d7c8backed Yes	3c	3,582$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.2	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	3c	3,507$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.44	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1035…9e01backed Yes	5c	3,355$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6a…6d70backed Yes	5c	3,280$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.82	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77da…87ebbacked Yes	3c	3,266$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8197backed Yes	4c	3,246$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	3c	3,232$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.07	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa9…93babacked Yes	3c	3,130$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.16	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	2c	3,092$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.44	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7758…7125backed Yes	1c	3,039$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccaa…705ebacked Yes	3c	3,037$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf686…0398backed Yes	3c	3,028$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Yes	2c	2,882$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.04	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9e…f46abacked Yes	8c	2,761$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes	4c	2,753$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.83	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+97.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd973…643fbacked Yes	2c	2,612$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.62	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c17…6a7ebacked Yes	2c	2,610$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	4c	2,609$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes	1c	2,534$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…18edbacked Yes	16c	2,504$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa511…18a3backed Yes	2c	2,500$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.23	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes	6c	2,460$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.36	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2218…50b1backed Yes	4c	2,382$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes	2c	2,332$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.27	45	0%0 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a10…ba54backed Yes	4c	2,302$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.29	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes	6c	2,302$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c749backed Yes	4c	2,276$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d79…6e71backed Yes	6c	2,234$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.86	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d85…2cf8backed Yes	4c	2,215$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.39	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0faf…ca6abacked Yes	4c	2,203$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.03	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa2…0379backed Yes	16c	2,183$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	2c	2,160$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f3…8a4fbacked Yes	4c	2,122$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.78	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2e…b704backed Yes	3c	2,017$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…6777backed Yes	2c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-31%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes	6c	1,937$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes	8c	1,921$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.37	135	18.5%25 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x950b…cba5backed Yes	11c	1,873$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes	2c	1,800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	-11.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf587…1419backed Yes	11c	1,795$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.93	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…1082backed Yes	4c	1,766$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.77	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed Yes	3c	1,747$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.67	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event