Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63bb7fc1b5b53a3fe498fffadd8171a7f0914cd86275dc91c6a539688d31021c

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,295,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,004,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,295,692 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	2c	208,859$3,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,626.75	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes	2c	75,000$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	138	23.2%32 W · 106 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea7c…18c0backed Yes	1c	35,167$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	2c	24,563$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.91	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes	0c	23,968$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.02	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	16,602$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.04	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes	1c	16,053$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.79	145	20.7%30 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-40%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb710…6639backed Yes	4c	14,349$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.77	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	12,660$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.61	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01da…6283backed Yes	2c	12,331$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.54	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes	2c	11,999$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.24	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	6cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	1c	11,662$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.88	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…b571backed Yes	3c	11,593$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	2c	11,160$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.07	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	2c	10,993$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.19	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9995…5adbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…aa35backed Yes	2c	10,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.81	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x426d…6669backed Yes	1c	10,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes	2c	9,544$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+97.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	2c	8,816$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.21	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes	1c	8,654$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.82	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb39…e932backed Yes	6c	8,539$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.89	52	17.3%9 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf261…bc9dbacked Yes	3c	7,991$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes	2c	7,634$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	2c	7,573$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.24	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d79…6e71backed Yes	2c	7,173$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes	2c	6,860$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	135	18.5%25 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	6,855$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.8	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…2038backed Yes	1c	6,813$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.11	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+200.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	1c	6,808$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.29	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e26…0f1cbacked Yes	4c	6,444$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…71f4backed Yes	0c	6,419$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8197backed Yes	2c	6,149$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb640…7bd4backed Yes	2c	5,882$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes	2c	5,805$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.68	45	0%0 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73cd…1a42backed Yes	2c	5,800$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.44	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…a3cdbacked Yes	2c	5,649$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	6cpaid	+163.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes	2c	5,600$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	2c	5,600$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.79	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	5,527$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.61	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes	3c	5,282$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec7f…0943backed Yes	2c	5,179$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	5,059$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.37	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…1e42backed Yes	2c	5,059$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	3c	5,000$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.61	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	4,827$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.25	228	2.6%6 W · 222 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes	3c	4,431$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.4	79	26.6%21 W · 58 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba8…10b1backed Yes	3c	4,124$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	2c	3,930$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…e53ebacked Yes	1c	3,839$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbce…a28bbacked Yes	2c	3,833$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.27	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25db…c75ebacked Yes	2c	3,607$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes	2c	3,457$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.55	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-45%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	2c	3,419$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.97	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a10…ba54backed Yes	1c	3,389$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5495…d542backed Yes	3c	3,328$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	2c	3,186$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.68	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6095…b9fbbacked Yes	2c	3,156$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…1082backed Yes	2c	3,055$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.34	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd973…643fbacked Yes	1c	3,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.61	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	1c	3,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	353	55.5%196 W · 157 L	+36.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	2,984$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.63	238	4.6%11 W · 227 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	2c	2,969$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.67	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13f…3396backed Yes	2c	2,940$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…6d70backed Yes	7c	2,916$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c2…186ebacked Yes	3c	2,894$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebea…eabcbacked Yes	3c	2,877$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d1…3242backed Yes	1c	2,846$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…4aeebacked Yes	2c	2,700$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed Yes	2c	2,624$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3706…2b12backed Yes	3c	2,613$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	17cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes	2c	2,589$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.2	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ef9…7e63backed Yes	1c	2,568$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe51e…def4backed Yes	2c	2,550$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	1c	2,543$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.7	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	1c	2,534$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.67	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc49…1f7fbacked Yes	4c	2,500$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.76	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa2d…aeb9backed Yes	1c	2,476$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.76	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9684…ea58backed Yes	3c	2,456$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed Yes	4c	2,362$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	1c	2,344$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.02	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86cf…592dbacked Yes	4c	2,258$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e01…ad8ebacked Yes	2c	2,110$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes	2c	2,026$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd754…8e70backed Yes	2c	2,023$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	2c	2,022$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.63	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03b5…ff25backed Yes	2c	2,021$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16a…3ad2backed Yes	2c	2,006$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	219	26.5%58 W · 161 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf23d…9140backed Yes	8c	1,993$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d85…2cf8backed Yes	3c	1,929$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b00…7765backed Yes	1c	1,923$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcab…15c4backed Yes	2c	1,909$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c8…698abacked Yes	1c	1,905$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3975…0f53backed Yes	3c	1,900$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc921…7dd6backed Yes	1c	1,818$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae12…4271backed Yes	3c	1,776$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…a4eebacked Yes	1c	1,679$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-73%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea98…8626backed Yes	3c	1,661$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.34	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event