Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cb15a6ad5db73f234b494077e358b716a9eb9947e742d17cc86e137313cb9ed

Rebuilt 12 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,137,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,144,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,137,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9155…2971backed Yes	0c	394,975$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa170…4482backed Yes	0c	379,713$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	4c	165,803$6,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,192.57	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes	3c	55,305$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.39	138	23.2%32 W · 106 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	3c	33,593$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.94	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef0…3a33backed Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc921…7dd6backed Yes	4c	25,982$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x794a…8489backed Yes	3c	25,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	2c	24,940$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.42	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes	0c	23,161$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	14,577$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.05	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	12,858$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.11	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb710…6639backed Yes	6c	12,378$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.94	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…b571backed Yes	7c	11,812$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7c…18c0backed Yes	5c	10,950$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	10,235$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.14	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…f154backed Yes	5c	9,538$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbe…c93cbacked Yes	5c	9,171$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+9.6wins	+0.23per pick	23cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	3c	9,006$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.05	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	8,655$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.56	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	8,580$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.56	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbce…a28bbacked Yes	4c	8,050$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.92	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3af…6fb8backed Yes	3c	7,523$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	3c	7,448$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.22	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	7,046$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.41	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes	2c	7,018$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.9	145	20.7%30 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-40%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes	3c	6,500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.24	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+97.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	3c	6,477$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.4	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9c…18edbacked Yes	8c	6,248$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes	3c	6,028$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.78	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes	2c	5,889$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.41	72	0%0 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	3c	5,849$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.09	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	2c	5,538$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.27	353	55.5%196 W · 157 L	+36.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	1c	5,100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	5,006$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.41	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d79…6e71backed Yes	5c	4,846$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.46	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	3c	4,710$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.76	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes	4c	4,703$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	3c	4,630$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.64	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes	2c	4,475$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.41	104	35.6%37 W · 67 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes	6c	4,415$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.19	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	6cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6a…6d70backed Yes	9c	4,383$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd73…f3e4backed Yes	3c	4,140$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304d…cb05backed Yes	2c	3,966$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Yes	5c	3,963$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	3c	3,619$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.48	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86cf…592dbacked Yes	6c	3,434$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	3c	3,433$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.08	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	3c	3,400$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes	4c	3,312$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01da…6283backed Yes	3c	3,286$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes	2c	3,273$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.73	404	33.7%136 W · 268 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed Yes	4c	3,146$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.33	432	12.5%54 W · 378 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fa…5e4ebacked Yes	3c	3,130$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.37	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d85…2cf8backed Yes	4c	3,117$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.36	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d6…8d67backed Yes	3c	3,040$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c17…6a7ebacked Yes	2c	2,975$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.99	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee1…efc4backed Yes	3c	2,955$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8197backed Yes	4c	2,838$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	3c	2,811$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.51	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2970…f132backed Yes	5c	2,790$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes	4c	2,782$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.34	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…1082backed Yes	3c	2,721$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.6	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x949f…4ae8backed Yes	2c	2,696$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.87	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd292…8ce5backed Yes	4c	2,674$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb3…4268backed Yes	2c	2,574$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	74	21.6%16 W · 58 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes	2c	2,500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-45%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebea…eabcbacked Yes	4c	2,499$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes	3c	2,439$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.96	45	0%0 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	2,426$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.16	238	4.6%11 W · 227 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes	4c	2,377$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	79	26.6%21 W · 58 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1035…9e01backed Yes	3c	2,328$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	2c	2,268$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77da…87ebbacked Yes	4c	2,252$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…b577backed Yes	5c	2,214$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7dc1…d84dbacked Yes	5c	2,196$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes	2c	2,129$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	219	26.5%58 W · 161 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd10…a689backed Yes	6c	2,081$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf440…73f3backed Yes	3c	2,070$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	15cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1287…e491backed Yes	5c	2,048$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed47…0887backed Yes	12c	2,045$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.74	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	39cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95e1…e468backed Yes	3c	2,022$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes	2c	2,021$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.32	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	11cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes	5c	2,006$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	18.5%25 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes	2c	2,004$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc98…9daabacked Yes	4c	2,002$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa1ff…b9f3backed Yes	2c	2,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x426d…6669backed Yes	3c	2,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16a…3ad2backed Yes	3c	1,997$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.36	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf587…1419backed Yes	3c	1,985$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.46	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ef9…7e63backed Yes	1c	1,984$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5495…d542backed Yes	5c	1,980$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.16	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	2c	1,941$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ea…6f36backed Yes	3c	1,853$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0151…af44backed Yes	2c	1,852$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x431c…992fbacked Yes	5c	1,849$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes	2c	1,793$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.06	255	18%46 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf13f…3396backed Yes	3c	1,737$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.9	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe51e…def4backed Yes	3c	1,728$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event