Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb040197f0ec1a43a4fe5973135b7225a4fc1ac937d30bfdfa7ab1b99b9ee40

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,311,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $635,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,311,211 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	2c	79,916$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.5	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40b…3233backed Yes	0c	67,669$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed Yes	1c	39,850$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.61	432	12.5%54 W · 378 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6509…ab24backed Yes	2c	27,098$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+201.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	1c	21,712$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.59	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	2c	20,144$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.08	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae4…bdfebacked Yes	2c	19,222$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.15	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	17,940$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.19	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Yes	2c	17,335$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.1	68	4.4%3 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	1c	17,200$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.8	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes	1c	16,330$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.86	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes	1c	15,129$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.59	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-45%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes	2c	15,058$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.52	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a07…5525backed Yes	0c	14,700$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc410…9201backed Yes	4c	14,277$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.3	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	1c	13,855$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	2c	13,803$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.05	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	1c	13,653$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.08	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…3994backed Yes	3c	13,026$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.32	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	12,998$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8197backed Yes	2c	12,427$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes	1c	11,761$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.54	45	0%0 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2142…f9c1backed Yes	2c	11,529$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	1c	10,529$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.11	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…f440backed Yes	2c	10,318$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.45	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…8a7ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Yes	2c	9,769$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.13	136	17.6%24 W · 112 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes	3c	9,416$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.8	86	7%6 W · 80 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…15a9backed Yes	2c	9,068$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	1c	8,834$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.77	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	1c	8,467$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.72	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	8,133$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.61	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc714…4141backed Yes	2c	8,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.61	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…21b8backed Yes	3c	7,717$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	7,486$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.36	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8102…d50abacked Yes	3c	7,322$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca2…4b79backed Yes	2c	7,109$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.62	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	2c	6,778$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.72	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	2c	6,444$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.64	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…1082backed Yes	1c	6,251$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.2	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	2c	6,214$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.43	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	6,000$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.83	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75cc…b75abacked Yes	1c	6,000$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccaa…705ebacked Yes	2c	5,906$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…0023backed Yes	2c	5,845$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.29	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ea…6f36backed Yes	2c	5,417$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes	1c	5,225$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.05	255	18%46 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	2c	5,190$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.21	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes	2c	5,175$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.63	404	33.7%136 W · 268 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes	3c	5,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	353	47%166 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0faf…ca6abacked Yes	2c	4,980$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.54	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	2c	4,980$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.94	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	2c	4,897$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.52	353	55.5%196 W · 157 L	+36.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xab06…689bbacked Yes	2c	4,783$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	4,682$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.77	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf6…6fc4backed Yes	2c	4,578$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.27	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f3…17ddbacked Yes	2c	4,463$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.58	64	7.8%5 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1f…620abacked Yes	2c	4,456$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c7a…6875backed Yes	2c	4,348$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.87	75	20%15 W · 60 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b1…b4adbacked Yes	3c	4,208$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	2c	4,143$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.59	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a81…420fbacked Yes	2c	4,116$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…a9c9backed Yes	2c	4,090$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.07	43	7%3 W · 40 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes	1c	4,031$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.25	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes	2c	4,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	225	47.1%106 W · 119 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc45d…2eedbacked Yes	2c	4,000$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.54	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd222…994dbacked Yes	4c	3,993$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes	1c	3,858$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+17.8wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0527…20b1backed Yes	1c	3,750$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.72	115	1.7%2 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e93…78bcbacked Yes	1c	3,721$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60bb…d33fbacked Yes	3c	3,708$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f3…842cbacked Yes	3c	3,600$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.76	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed Yes	2c	3,430$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.25	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+7.3wins	+0.22per pick	43cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x84c9…65f1backed Yes	2c	3,400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes	1c	3,388$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f50…9451backed Yes	2c	3,345$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb640…7bd4backed Yes	2c	3,331$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes	2c	3,313$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.01	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Yes	2c	3,303$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a9…fa40backed Yes	2c	3,235$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed Yes	1c	3,225$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dbb…15a4backed Yes	2c	3,220$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes	3c	3,211$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	18.5%25 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…3149backed Yes	1c	3,155$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.28	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	7cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Yes	2c	3,088$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb710…6639backed Yes	2c	3,000$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf55c…0afebacked Yes	2c	2,977$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3739…307fbacked Yes	1c	2,957$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.72	93	4.3%4 W · 89 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+75.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c3…a742backed Yes	2c	2,816$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	0c	2,814$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d79…6e71backed Yes	2c	2,793$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d41…2dfabacked Yes	2c	2,630$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee69…0c70backed Yes	2c	2,566$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc0…7643backed Yes	0c	2,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8355…907ebacked Yes	1c	2,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes	2c	2,488$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b11…c4c4backed Yes	1c	2,447$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a9…41d1backed Yes	2c	2,442$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…3afcbacked Yes	3c	2,397$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf80a…a38ebacked Yes	2c	2,364$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event