Middle East · resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ba106337ce14da6d516739659513d573e35ec2ab4d1a66818216bb2260a925

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,551,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,227,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,551,909 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb9f0…42d1backed Yes	2c	170,339$2,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,954.68	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes	1c	82,007$1,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227.47	138	23.2%32 W · 106 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes	2c	38,405$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.72	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df8…2f76backed Yes	6c	18,355$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb710…6639backed Yes	3c	17,900$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.14	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	17,654$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.68	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed Yes	1c	15,720$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.03	432	12.5%54 W · 378 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x426e…acd0backed Yes	1c	14,269$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.79	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	24cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf58d…5df3backed Yes	2c	12,866$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0260…b0a4backed Yes	5c	12,823$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	3c	12,778$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.16	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	0c	12,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+86.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	12,267$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.87	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	2c	12,131$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.2	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes	2c	11,738$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.61	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x426d…6669backed Yes	5c	11,519$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	2c	11,368$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.95	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…191abacked Yes	2c	10,600$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.57	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…c93cbacked Yes	5c	10,272$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+9.6wins	+0.23per pick	23cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x05ac…2187backed Yes	2c	10,035$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.03	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	16cpaid	-91.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61b…e1aebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25ef…41aabacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	2c	9,463$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.97	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc0…99f3backed Yes	2c	8,456$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc714…4141backed Yes	2c	8,400$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.48	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	8,387$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.28	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	8,290$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.3	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes	3c	8,000$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.36	86	7%6 W · 80 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972c…9492backed Yes	5c	7,779$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	7,537$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.11	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6095…b9fbbacked Yes	1c	7,373$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.79	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8102…d50abacked Yes	2c	7,345$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8197backed Yes	2c	7,174$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes	4c	7,100$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.42	72	0%0 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	7,000$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.6	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbce…a28bbacked Yes	2c	6,970$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.08	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6933…fc08backed Yes	5c	6,507$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…e53ebacked Yes	2c	5,930$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.89	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0073…082abacked Yes	2c	5,874$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	3c	5,682$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.14	144	2.8%4 W · 140 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7a…6875backed Yes	3c	5,600$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.6	75	20%15 W · 60 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	5,542$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	228	2.6%6 W · 222 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes	4c	5,356$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.54	377	40.1%151 W · 226 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	3c	5,303$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	147	7.5%11 W · 136 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes	2c	5,271$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes	1c	5,244$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.72	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65bf…4b91backed Yes	2c	5,220$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.41	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccaa…705ebacked Yes	2c	5,074$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	2c	4,864$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.47	83	6%5 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Yes	3c	4,723$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.85	136	17.6%24 W · 112 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ee…b9c9backed Yes	2c	4,643$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.57	96	5.2%5 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b1…b4adbacked Yes	2c	4,505$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	0c	4,495$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	171	11.7%20 W · 151 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes	5c	4,457$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.65	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	-11.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	2c	4,417$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.25	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60bb…d33fbacked Yes	6c	4,344$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.65	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes	2c	4,307$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.38	353	47%166 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd292…8ce5backed Yes	3c	4,062$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd973…643fbacked Yes	1c	3,973$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes	2c	3,936$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc921…7dd6backed Yes	6c	3,778$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes	2c	3,658$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.35	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5400…1342backed Yes	3c	3,616$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.62	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	3c	3,446$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.27	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes	3c	3,444$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…6777backed Yes	2c	3,400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.3	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-31%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes	3c	3,395$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.35	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea98…8626backed Yes	2c	3,257$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.6	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1546…6f3abacked Yes	5c	3,231$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.21	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes	1c	3,214$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+17.8wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0faf…ca6abacked Yes	2c	3,200$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.1	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes	1c	3,072$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.16	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-45%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e93…78bcbacked Yes	1c	3,067$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.28	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes	2c	2,996$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	11cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1199…d5f9backed Yes	1c	2,980$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+477.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	3c	2,936$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.5	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes	2c	2,893$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.3	255	18%46 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes	1c	2,800$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdaa2…0379backed Yes	4c	2,789$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…b571backed Yes	6c	2,777$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc1…d84dbacked Yes	3c	2,770$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd754…8e70backed Yes	4c	2,728$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x64f3…8a4fbacked Yes	4c	2,700$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes	4c	2,648$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…3994backed Yes	4c	2,605$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.57	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	2c	2,546$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf587…1419backed Yes	5c	2,476$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.84	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d79…6e71backed Yes	4c	2,446$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Yes	2c	2,420$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.33	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes	1c	2,411$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7158…b78cbacked Yes	2c	2,409$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdd…5d01backed Yes	4c	2,317$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72fa…5e4ebacked Yes	3c	2,300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes	2c	2,300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	45	0%0 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92da…5b8dbacked Yes	5c	2,253$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.51	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c749backed Yes	5c	2,251$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a10…ba54backed Yes	2c	2,200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cfe…fb24backed Yes	2c	2,194$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa842…e305backed Yes	2c	2,187$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	113	29.2%33 W · 80 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf440…73f3backed Yes	4c	2,186$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	15cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?this page
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event