Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic beat Club Brugge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec23f2b219215836964df13c321019d34c063cec1e1166537dc186733076321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 35c | 2,185$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.32 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 51c | 1,968$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.91 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 50c | 667.06$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.53 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 31c | 658.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 51c | 548.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.74 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…a0dabacked Yes | 50c | 501.1$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 18c | 418.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 52c | 395.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 53c | 331.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 49c | 232.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 53c | 222.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…c769backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…56debacked Yes | 8c | 170.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…c16dbacked Yes | 49c | 120.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 46c | 108.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 47c | 106.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca8…b081backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 54c | 61.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 54c | 43.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 38c | 42.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…8400backed Yes | 46c | 32.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 47c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic beat Club Brugge?this page
- Will Club Brugge beat Celtic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.