NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc53265a8fa3115889b09f4a2b6ea16e7c5b09ab803f4301b992ba7c1d017ba33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nets | 33c | 16,309$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.68 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 72c | 13,089$9,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.1 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Magic | 69c | 11,759$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.79 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 66c | 7,961$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.26 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Nets | 24c | 5,665$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.04 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Magic | 72c | 2,952$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.94 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 30c | 2,884$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.25 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Nets | 25c | 2,823$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.45 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nets | 20c | 2,234$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.16 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 29c | 2,082$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.44 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Nets | 31c | 2,051$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nets | 35c | 1,867$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Magic | 77c | 1,507$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.51 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Nets | 34c | 1,490$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 71c | 1,480$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 72c | 1,398$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.25 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 71c | 1,390$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.15 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nets | 23c | 1,376$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.8 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets | 28c | 1,376$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.21 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Nets | 29c | 1,357$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Magic | 72c | 1,285$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Magic | 78c | 1,253$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.26 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Nets | 21c | 1,235$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.83 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Magic | 73c | 1,230$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Nets | 1c | 1,180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Nets | 29c | 1,007$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Magic | 70c | 1,007$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Nets | 30c | 1,006$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Magic | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Magic | 72c | 992.42$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Magic | 70c | 942.27$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.83 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 6c | 926.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nets | 27c | 839.01$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Nets | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Nets | 26c | 782.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 69c | 773.48$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 71c | 746.91$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Nets | 43c | 700.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Magic | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Magic | 70c | 620.2$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Nets | 29c | 619.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Magic | 70c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 66c | 537.1$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nets | 29c | 530.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Nets | 28c | 507.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Magic | 69c | 490$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…e615backed Magic | 77c | 485.28$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +131%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets | 28c | 460.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Magic | 69c | 455.05$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 70c | 454.95$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…3453backed Magic | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nets | 29c | 427.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Magic | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Magic | 71c | 419.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nets | 24c | 400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nets | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Magic | 75c | 399.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Magic | 74c | 399.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Nets | 26c | 383.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Magic | 60c | 364$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Nets | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc543…e305backed Nets | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9427…10fbbacked Nets | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed Magic | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Nets | 34c | 295.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Nets | 35c | 292.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 29c | 264.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Nets | 41c | 246$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Nets | 29c | 235.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 24c | 207.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…d8b1backed Nets | 31c | 205.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Magic | 71c | 204.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Nets | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nets | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Nets | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…41a9backed Magic | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Magic | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Nets | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Magic | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Magic | 72c | 198.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Magic | 72c | 193.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Nets | 25c | 181.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacd…a4d5backed Nets | 26c | 176$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Nets | 29c | 170.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Magic | 71c | 169.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nets | 36c | 165.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Magic | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 145 | 62.8%91 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…b25ebacked Magic | 71c | 158.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Nets | 27c | 145$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Nets | 15c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…42f0backed Magic | 67c | 136.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…9974backed Nets | 32c | 136.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 62c | 127.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Nets | 31c | 126.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…b579backed Magic | 74c | 121$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Nets | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…c820backed Nets | 26c | 117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.