TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$861,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$811,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $861,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes22c109,587$24,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,323.92917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes21c65,749$13,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,908.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd581…2b59backed Yes27c61,564$16,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,9301010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5abb…8633backed Yes18c53,331$9,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,750.68520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52b…ba76backed No78c44,800$34,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,077.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3399…65a5backed No77c25,928$20,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,880.54333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes3c24,051$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.29137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No75c17,678$13,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,474.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes22c15,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No76c12,480$9,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.471833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3230…27a2backed Yes15c8,847$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes9c8,318$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.431910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No76c7,915$5,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.374540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Yes18c7,493$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.66156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe085…3a34backed No76c6,558$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eab…b026backed Yes6c5,749$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+101%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad2…c594backed Yes10c5,105$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked No76c4,777$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes18c4,650$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.692913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes24c4,452$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-78.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No76c4,445$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Yes25c4,100$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes25c3,963$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No75c3,247$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.84450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes23c3,000$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes3c2,767$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1280%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes21c2,546$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes20c2,529$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.564918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed Yes2c2,500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No76c2,500$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No75c2,461$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.192835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes24c2,356$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes14c2,253$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.465341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee7…68acbacked Yes11c2,071$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Yes26c2,040$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes24c2,001$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…633bbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked No76c2,000$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd969…ff26backed Yes24c1,975$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c1,906$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.424520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes4c1,860$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.78728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Yes13c1,774$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes11c1,771$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c1,581$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.922953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No78c1,510$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c1,409$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1421…644bbacked Yes9c1,347$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29da…02c1backed No76c1,199$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No76c1,168$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0292…4211backed No78c1,100$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes24c1,050$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd929…a5c7backed Yes25c1,048$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8460%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c33…8bbfbacked Yes11c1,044$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed No80c1,039$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110240%0 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No76c999.99$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes26c978$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.65130%0 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadb7…2983backed Yes18c929.1$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.062035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes3c903$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.69230%0 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…6083backed Yes2c882.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…3d8fbacked Yes24c857.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3580%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf526…35b1backed No75c749.64$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa677…6b31backed Yes11c742.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes3c727$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c6…5a02backed Yes20c726.13$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No76c714.56$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No75c694.05$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.692725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes3c676.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+75%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed No77c666$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No75c643.37$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.86875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f5…dab4backed Yes25c616.52$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.13650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+153.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Yes22c601.42$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.431618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes17c599.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes14c520$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.27504%2 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked No75c512.74$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed No75c509.99$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1323…6008backed Yes3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes5c500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.64916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes22c498.81$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+240.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x855f…cfb0backed Yes12c482$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.842711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes9c472.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…5196backed Yes26c413.74$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c96…abc5backed Yes24c412.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…a85abacked Yes11c409$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1280%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x405a…711ebacked Yes26c408.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No74c408.25$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.925100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+102%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes24c408.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa677…7d76backed Yes3c403.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…3a11backed Yes25c401.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes23c389.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.583429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+87.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef4…69e4backed Yes25c388.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes14c367.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.24035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0cb…8e37backed Yes10c364.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.14520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Yes25c350$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d3…34bebacked Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes17c305.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.242040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd134…bdf7backed Yes14c275.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…451fbacked Yes15c269.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc434…9978backed Yes8c243.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.