NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de8a48516c1724a4819433470dea5f44d722c49a847da67679f768091a97473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Mavericks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Mavericks | 37c | 258,512$94,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,990.69 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 62c | 112,500$69,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,225.32 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Kings | 74c | 54,587$40,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,183.82 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 0c | 37,919$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Kings | 79c | 30,955$24,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,432.47 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Mavericks | 32c | 29,344$9,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,301.84 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Kings | 55c | 27,700$15,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,598.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 61c | 23,642$14,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,289.84 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 37c | 19,713$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.95 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 53c | 15,451$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,201.57 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Kings | 71c | 14,994$10,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.78 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Kings | 43c | 14,873$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,543.59 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings | 67c | 13,879$9,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.92 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…fa36backed Kings | 58c | 13,873$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Kings | 74c | 13,511$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.97 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…889cbacked Mavericks | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…161dbacked Mavericks | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 1c | 9,574$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…8929backed Mavericks | 0c | 9,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…5624backed Mavericks | 22c | 9,174$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Kings | 56c | 8,083$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.71 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…b2febacked Mavericks | 42c | 7,141$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 67c | 6,805$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.03 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…7475backed Mavericks | 42c | 6,736$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Kings | 62c | 6,615$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.29 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Mavericks | 70c | 5,737$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Kings | 66c | 5,458$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.91 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 35c | 5,123$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.07 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mavericks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Mavericks | 31c | 4,842$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.09 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,660$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.92 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Mavericks | 41c | 3,646$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 56c | 3,570$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.47 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kings | 54c | 3,507$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.19 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 61c | 3,478$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.49 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Mavericks | 6c | 3,303$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.02 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Kings | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.07 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 48c | 2,933$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.53 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks | 31c | 2,841$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.12 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Mavericks | 54c | 2,835$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Kings | 68c | 2,751$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.24 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,550$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Kings | 54c | 2,345$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.45 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Mavericks | 1c | 2,309$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Mavericks | 29c | 2,195$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.76 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…4f95backed Mavericks | 16c | 2,084$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 66c | 2,078$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.68 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Kings | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kings | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Kings | 72c | 1,999$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.78 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings | 63c | 1,970$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,800$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.02 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,797$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Mavericks | 54c | 1,726$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.71 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,711$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.74 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Kings | 55c | 1,631$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 55c | 1,459$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.45 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 21c | 1,423$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Mavericks | 7c | 1,390$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Mavericks | 42c | 1,319$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 66c | 1,221$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.11 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked Kings | 68c | 1,196$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Mavericks | 31c | 1,190$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,127$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Kings | 52c | 1,120$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Kings | 56c | 1,116$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.07 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Kings | 56c | 1,061$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.29 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Kings | 57c | 1,046$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.28 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Kings | 37c | 1,044$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Kings | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 63c | 1,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.25 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Kings | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks | 37c | 928.6$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.65 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 40c | 927.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.56 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Mavericks | 43c | 865.47$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.15 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Kings | 79c | 820.58$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Mavericks | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings | 64c | 787.19$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.83 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Mavericks | 46c | 781.38$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Kings | 67c | 768.61$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.74 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Mavericks | 45c | 764.51$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Mavericks | 23c | 749.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 62c | 728.54$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks | 57c | 702.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Mavericks | 37c | 699.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kings | 59c | 690.55$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.92 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Kings | 60c | 670.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 59c | 663.96$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Mavericks | 31c | 650$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Kings | 68c | 640$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Mavericks | 47c | 607.76$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Kings | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Mavericks | 51c | 591.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Kings | 72c | 554.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings | 65c | 544.44$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Mavericks | 54c | 515.44$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.34 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.