TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls0c7,600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.44573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…6aebbacked Bulls27c6,424$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.521947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Rockets63c5,400$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9988046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls1c4,235$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Rockets66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1906955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bulls34c3,472$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.5770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets73c2,738$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.2247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Bulls37c2,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Bulls35c900.31$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1113920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Rockets67c813.95$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8921649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Rockets63c772.48$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ff…4c5ebacked Bulls37c771.97$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.631838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Bulls36c705.22$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.888043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets62c616.48$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls37c542.4$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.691,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e70…2d39backed Bulls37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c53…5f4ebacked Rockets64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Bulls37c362.35$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0720245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Bulls37c338.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Rockets65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.698937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls38c299.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.991,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Bulls38c264$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8527642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Rockets66c263.96$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Bulls38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62f…4888backed Bulls7c261$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.241225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Bulls22c249.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls8c227.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.191,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Rockets63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3518666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf61f…f90fbacked Bulls37c205.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Bulls35c193.12$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.596141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d1…750bbacked Bulls34c192.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls33c171.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb031…fdf3backed Rockets63c166$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7472…099dbacked Rockets63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…d0fbbacked Bulls37c155$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Rockets65c154.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6216440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcd8…1fd9backed Rockets63c143$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd86b…0111backed Rockets64c138.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick70cpaid-74%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Bulls38c135$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.334644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9e…7f87backed Bulls36c135$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b6…0fb7backed Bulls36c133$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ea…7776backed Rockets59c130.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.362147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe8…8758backed Bulls38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23c…0586backed Rockets62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1d…a7dabacked Rockets63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Bulls35c124.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7511428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c9…1a1dbacked Rockets64c122$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18da…2152backed Rockets60c117$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5103…5f14backed Bulls40c117$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2941…91c0backed Rockets60c116$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b6…390ebacked Bulls40c116$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74a…681dbacked Bulls37c114$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b4…d418backed Rockets63c114$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+74.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bb3…2f34backed Bulls42c113$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ef…d28ebacked Rockets58c113$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb33…e386backed Bulls40c112$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…bb30backed Bulls34c112$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…8249backed Rockets66c112$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca12…d1a3backed Rockets60c112$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1c…b846backed Rockets60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…925dbacked Bulls38c110$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…ec60backed Bulls40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa110…e7bdbacked Rockets62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd95c…8ee2backed Rockets60c109$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b1…61cebacked Bulls40c109$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…0f05backed Bulls40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ee…d425backed Bulls42c105$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d4…57f0backed Rockets60c105$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e8…1432backed Rockets58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x749e…63ddbacked Rockets59c101$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…e855backed Bulls41c101$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1d…4c25backed Bulls41c101$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2328…eefebacked Rockets59c101$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Bulls34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Bulls29c95.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1724147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929e…e996backed Bulls40c95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa553…c936backed Rockets60c95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…a34cbacked Rockets64c94.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls35c92.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c9…9955backed Rockets65c92.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Bulls35c86.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Bulls35c84.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.745556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Rockets63c82.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.518658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Bulls38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3590…148cbacked Rockets64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f7…0fb5backed Rockets64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…130fbacked Rockets65c77.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6987…0060backed Bulls36c74.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5358…28c6backed Bulls41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c28bbacked Bulls38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…06e5backed Rockets62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf249…6439backed Bulls38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x515e…8044backed Rockets62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd51…0aebbacked Rockets74c67.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Rockets62c64.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3816443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Bulls34c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.647623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x702f…df2dbacked Bulls38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5b…89ccbacked Bulls38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.