Space · resolved market
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90253525b201c9b7257bca40036c5cc9afb9ae709c4badfe99cc0ff5fae9dce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $604,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 996 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 23c | 22,617$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,410.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 20c | 22,222$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,777.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Yes | 77c | 19,599$14,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 24c | 16,669$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,746.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 21c | 15,335$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,084.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…55a3backed No | 20c | 14,134$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed No | 23c | 13,954$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,752.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Yes | 22c | 13,948$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed No | 45c | 11,712$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,413.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…434fbacked No | 27c | 11,117$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,116.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 26c | 10,892$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes | 75c | 10,684$7,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,989.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f8…0d34backed No | 24c | 10,667$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +314.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…c70abacked Yes | 2c | 9,518$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…b518backed Yes | 78c | 8,136$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked No | 23c | 7,042$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +186.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…2272backed No | 29c | 6,959$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 77c | 6,885$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…fcf2backed Yes | 76c | 6,611$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 23c | 6,472$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,985.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…8fd7backed No | 18c | 6,203$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 19c | 5,435$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 25c | 5,301$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…2b67backed No | 25c | 5,100$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 22c | 5,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed No | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 22c | 4,609$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +353.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 77c | 4,600$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…0a81backed Yes | 80c | 4,521$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 74c | 4,200$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…59efbacked No | 23c | 4,164$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +327.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 21c | 4,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 18c | 4,000$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4a…5961backed Yes | 79c | 3,891$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 26c | 3,822$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…838cbacked No | 27c | 3,793$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…683dbacked No | 23c | 3,758$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 23c | 3,643$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +332.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed Yes | 80c | 3,600$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 72c | 3,552$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…2ee7backed Yes | 74c | 3,526$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…5f7bbacked No | 24c | 3,500$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +317.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…f344backed No | 29c | 3,407$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed Yes | 71c | 3,390$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 38c | 3,319$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…a1d2backed Yes | 75c | 3,312$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 21c | 3,311$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed No | 22c | 3,276$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +205%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 22c | 3,118$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 16c | 3,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +512.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…5267backed Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…2e31backed Yes | 78c | 2,898$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…4940backed Yes | 77c | 2,865$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…0bb0backed Yes | 77c | 2,862$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…310cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,859$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked No | 26c | 2,814$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 77c | 2,758$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 77c | 2,742$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Yes | 77c | 2,720$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc51…4287backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…08b7backed Yes | 76c | 2,599$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…dc25backed Yes | 80c | 2,499$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…3602backed No | 18c | 2,345$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +454.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…79d3backed Yes | 75c | 2,296$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed Yes | 1c | 2,220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed No | 23c | 2,182$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +332.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf73…20f2backed Yes | 78c | 2,155$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…b8e5backed Yes | 78c | 2,097$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…a94ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,082$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 23c | 2,078$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +344.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 23c | 2,057$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed No | 18c | 2,057$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +447.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…f8b3backed Yes | 76c | 2,048$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed No | 27c | 2,033$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 75c | 2,028$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…eea1backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed Yes | 79c | 1,995$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 22c | 1,945$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…76b0backed No | 19c | 1,922$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +415.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199d…589abacked Yes | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…720bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,857$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…e141backed No | 25c | 1,821$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 53c | 1,788$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…40bcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,788$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…34aabacked Yes | 78c | 1,733$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dc…fc54backed Yes | 77c | 1,707$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…7377backed Yes | 79c | 1,648$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 78c | 1,646$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…d070backed No | 27c | 1,564$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 24c | 1,527$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +321.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…38fcbacked Yes | 80c | 1,506$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 79c | 1,475$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Yes | 78c | 1,473$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 77c | 1,362$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 25c | 1,346$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…6cf5backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…599fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.