TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93fc…34b6backed Spurs33c59,602$19,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,940.624025%10 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings73c34,613$25,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,185.5315056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings67c17,388$11,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,6501,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Spurs23c15,996$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,246.13826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings59c12,770$7,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,507.5665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f0…974dbacked Kings1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings67c9,980$6,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,686.5127546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Spurs54c6,588$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.1526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Kings1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Kings72c4,870$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.837958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings66c4,703$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.921,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings41c4,590$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.021,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f09…02b6backed Spurs25c4,224$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.731450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs34c4,014$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Spurs36c3,389$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.058417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Kings67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0106167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Spurs33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9723548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Kings67c2,568$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.413050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b6…2f9fbacked Kings52c2,299$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002825%7 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings39c2,271$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.8561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Spurs31c2,045$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.0727041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Kings68c2,041$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.2812563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Kings54c2,013$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7811459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Kings76c1,985$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.6419350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Kings67c1,917$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.520153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Spurs32c1,856$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.1246131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings75c1,517$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.2129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Spurs33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1511135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Kings67c1,515$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.059563.2%60 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings53c1,493$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Kings76c1,376$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.423956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe661…3cffbacked Spurs23c1,201$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.941631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Kings66c1,181$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.4511143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6f…d9d4backed Kings80c1,112$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.15056%28 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings68c1,087$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.8577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66019943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Spurs10c973.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.883754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings72c915.62$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Spurs26c886.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.782227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Spurs34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.355438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings67c824.98$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Spurs24c799.97$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.986230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Kings8c700.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.733619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Spurs28c648.44$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.418316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Spurs24c634.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.594847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Spurs33c610.57$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4412154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Spurs30c600.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.2710243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Spurs14c557.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.422924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings67c556.5$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Spurs34c553$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.9834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Spurs54c545.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.783030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Kings36c543.09$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.617244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Kings77c520.44$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs24c509.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.391,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Kings67c500.5$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3314438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Spurs33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33518044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Spurs25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Kings66c499.91$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6129148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings11c485.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.831,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Kings39c445.57$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9345135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Spurs34c428.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.959052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Spurs27c418.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.398129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Spurs34c414.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5138132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f7…0fb5backed Spurs50c402.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.813447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs28c400$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28711146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Spurs78c371.79$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.795561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Spurs28c362.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1450144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Kings71c347$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.238460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Spurs16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.54946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Kings68c310$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.84656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Spurs24c302.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.599431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab4…aaffbacked Kings67c300.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Spurs61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1173154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…e033backed Kings67c298.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bd…1027backed Spurs34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Spurs28c290.01$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9948137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd206…8a30backed Spurs27c276.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.053066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb304…765ebacked Spurs34c264.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a81…f0a2backed Spurs34c264.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Kings57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Spurs27c261.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.416345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1802…a3afbacked Kings15c250$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Spurs33c249.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4915234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Kings9c241.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Spurs30c236.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1116440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings65c230.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.961,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kings67c225.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0611662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Spurs72c222.23$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.054030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…32e3backed Kings70c214.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8e…aaf5backed Kings63c205.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs35c200$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.571,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Spurs26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14813727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101a…3a32backed Kings42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs66c199.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab03…fae5backed Spurs33c199.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Spurs28c190$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings66c185.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.