TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31cf…8834backed Trail Blazers33c15,519$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.384348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers19c10,095$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.2465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Trail Blazers35c7,825$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737.4515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Trail Blazers33c6,378$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.7227546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…bdf5backed Mavericks67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Trail Blazers29c5,146$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.5923548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers34c4,849$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Mavericks72c3,913$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.516167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x101a…3a32backed Mavericks53c3,639$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.49922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Mavericks70c3,540$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.3126547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Mavericks68c3,125$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks71c3,120$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91137954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Mavericks68c3,046$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.5812563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers33c3,021$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers17c2,794$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.271,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Mavericks71c2,729$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.581,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks66c2,532$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.8176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers16c2,155$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers29c2,070$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.346131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Mavericks63c2,032$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.0723956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Mavericks62c2,015$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.493754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Mavericks58c1,703$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.86855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Mavericks65c1,649$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.238469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Trail Blazers3c1,600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Trail Blazers42c1,486$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.4612752%66 W · 61 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c53…30cdbacked Trail Blazers29c1,471$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.591030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e49…2d2dbacked Mavericks70c1,471$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.291050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Mavericks76c1,435$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5111459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Mavericks70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Trail Blazers7c1,149$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Trail Blazers33c1,128$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.151650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9387…ce77backed Mavericks69c1,097$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.121060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Mavericks79c1,021$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5127739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Trail Blazers30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers36c1,000$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3591,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Mavericks70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Mavericks65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.088548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Mavericks65c900$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3114656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers40c878.96$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6345135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers24c818.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Mavericks68c735.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2814062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f0…974dbacked Trail Blazers29c678$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers9c618$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.391,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Trail Blazers35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Trail Blazers33c595.62$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Trail Blazers34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…4125backed Trail Blazers31c523.32$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Trail Blazers31c512.58$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8317244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23015234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Trail Blazers30c476.67$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa441…dedebacked Trail Blazers34c453.95$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Mavericks68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1838942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…3453backed Mavericks70c430$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Mavericks67c405.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Mavericks57c392.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9948137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Trail Blazers19c367.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5313727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Mavericks71c341.5$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.041450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Trail Blazers35c339$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0411035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Mavericks58c335$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.128460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Mavericks76c327.82$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1216345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Trail Blazers14c326.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.673132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7b…124abacked Trail Blazers29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb247…0e78backed Trail Blazers29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Trail Blazers28c304.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0918316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb8…b625backed Trail Blazers17c299.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7374…1df5backed Trail Blazers29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc689…9279backed Mavericks71c299.97$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.995151%26 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Trail Blazers27c296$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Mavericks70c291.15$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Mavericks60c283.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.336851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Trail Blazers27c276.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0711143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f95…3012backed Trail Blazers29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Mavericks73c272.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4418666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d6e…784ebacked Trail Blazers37c267.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d874backed Mavericks62c259.59$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.127650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Trail Blazers23c258.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Trail Blazers36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Mavericks57c232.12$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8253250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacd…a4d5backed Trail Blazers29c232$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Mavericks71c229.34$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.418150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Mavericks72c214.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.614344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Trail Blazers25c211$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.766426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Mavericks71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5914852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…41a9backed Mavericks60c199.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d8…7359backed Mavericks71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585257.7%30 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab03…fae5backed Mavericks58c199.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Trail Blazers31c195.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Trail Blazers29c194.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.557337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Mavericks60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678359%49 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Trail Blazers18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71f7…0fb5backed Mavericks63c158.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.223447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Mavericks68c158.15$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.613151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc223…1cbfbacked Trail Blazers33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.