NFL · resolved market
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a386ae60cbe64bf97271e354c6573f2d57180e255cb429d4ff3f4f53ebd56d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 55c | 10,536$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.9 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 36c | 8,600$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 42c | 6,000$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.19 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 69c | 2,847$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.58 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 58c | 2,062$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.82 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 60c | 1,995$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.84 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 6c | 1,700$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 7c | 1,667$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Yes | 64c | 1,517$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.09 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,440$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 43c | 1,416$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.54 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 39c | 1,273$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 40c | 1,248$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.8 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 34c | 1,140$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.06 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 48c | 1,004$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.37 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed No | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 42c | 983.97$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 55c | 959.36$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.15 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 74c | 927.94$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 40c | 847.16$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…8678backed No | 41c | 840$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…0c9bbacked No | 41c | 840$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…4af9backed Yes | 59c | 840$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…4e08backed Yes | 59c | 840$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 57c | 782.76$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 32c | 605$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 38c | 578.28$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 41c | 552.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 39c | 545.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.41 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 9c | 443.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…047fbacked No | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 46c | 363.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 8c | 323.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 45c | 267.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 47c | 267.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 39c | 250$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 209 | 50.7%106 W · 103 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 44c | 250$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…2ce4backed Yes | 63c | 239.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 42c | 222.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…0b70backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed Yes | 39c | 157.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 39c | 137.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Yes | 44c | 134.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 34c | 127.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 61c | 118.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 40c | 111$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…54ebbacked Yes | 74c | 109.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…42c1backed Yes | 57c | 105.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…f4d0backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 63c | 87.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 28c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…1becbacked Yes | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…2475backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e2f0backed No | 27c | 60.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes | 50c | 54.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…7625backed Yes | 71c | 49.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…55cebacked Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…04a6backed Yes | 69c | 40.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Yes | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 57c | 35.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 51c | 26.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…3cddbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +366.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 60c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…7ed7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…cb21backed Yes | 69c | 17.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…6f50backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?this page
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.