NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52bc3f92b3da339eebd1fac9631ead07254f86de0157f12548061223366add2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Wizards | 5c | 4,621$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 18c | 4,200$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.97 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 19c | 3,511$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.1 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Clippers | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 3,142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Wizards | 20c | 1,899$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,863$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Wizards | 24c | 1,702$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.81 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Clippers | 77c | 1,620$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.17 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Wizards | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Wizards | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Wizards | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 25c | 972.56$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.23 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Wizards | 18c | 854.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 8c | 819.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 10c | 796.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Wizards | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 5c | 517.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…5511backed Wizards | 19c | 517.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Clippers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afc…d238backed Wizards | 20c | 450.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Wizards | 22c | 447$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Wizards | 25c | 401.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…dc50backed Wizards | 20c | 353.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Clippers | 79c | 345.51$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8f4bbacked Wizards | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Wizards | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Clippers | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Wizards | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 20c | 248.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Clippers | 76c | 205.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Clippers | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Clippers | 80c | 189.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Wizards | 11c | 180$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Clippers | 77c | 168.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Wizards | 15c | 162.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Clippers | 78c | 150.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Wizards | 15c | 145.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Clippers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Wizards | 19c | 118.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…afc5backed Wizards | 17c | 116.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Clippers | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…df9dbacked Wizards | 20c | 101.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 12c | 101.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Wizards | 20c | 100.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2650backed Wizards | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Wizards | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Clippers | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Wizards | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed Clippers | 79c | 63.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Clippers | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…edbdbacked Clippers | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Wizards | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…b939backed Wizards | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Wizards | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Clippers | 80c | 31.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Clippers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Clippers | 80c | 22.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…9aaebacked Clippers | 69c | 22.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…de17backed Clippers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 86 | 73.3%63 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed Clippers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1452backed Clippers | 75c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Clippers | 77c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd828…bc02backed Clippers | 79c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…e8b8backed Clippers | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Clippers | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.