NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64db493b471c6f7a3260b4ec9838233248bc45297b291890316dde8c29b63413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Bengals, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,661,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,713,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,661,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bengals | 49c | 50,000$24,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,409.02 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Chargers | 52c | 46,705$24,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,411.62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Bengals | 4c | 41,991$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.82 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bengals | 19c | 35,147$6,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,814.98 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Bengals | 48c | 33,542$16,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,175.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Chargers | 60c | 29,212$17,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,783.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Chargers | 68c | 25,781$17,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,246.47 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Bengals | 48c | 24,462$11,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,857.56 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Chargers | 50c | 17,926$8,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.75 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bengals | 48c | 14,509$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.36 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Bengals | 38c | 12,700$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.99 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bengals | 47c | 12,608$5,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944.17 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bengals | 22c | 11,628$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Chargers | 80c | 9,701$7,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Bengals | 28c | 9,328$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.08 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bengals | 55c | 9,218$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Chargers | 51c | 9,150$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.52 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Bengals | 33c | 9,014$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.73 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Chargers | 74c | 8,760$6,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Bengals | 26c | 7,847$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.85 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…e963backed Bengals | 1c | 7,837$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chargers | 47c | 7,176$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.8 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Bengals | 9c | 7,022$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…a715backed Bengals | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Bengals | 30c | 6,848$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.73 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers | 51c | 6,500$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.29 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Bengals | 47c | 6,285$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.73 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…8042backed Bengals | 46c | 6,094$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Chargers | 39c | 5,768$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.09 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Bengals | 33c | 5,600$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…47bebacked Bengals | 50c | 5,594$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chargers | 51c | 5,500$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.87 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Bengals | 48c | 5,393$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.46 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Chargers | 61c | 5,383$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…ae28backed Chargers | 54c | 5,350$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…82ccbacked Chargers | 54c | 5,350$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…4cdabacked Bengals | 46c | 5,350$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc4…cca9backed Bengals | 46c | 5,350$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chargers | 51c | 5,206$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.94 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…a245backed Bengals | 46c | 5,200$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…9973backed Chargers | 54c | 5,200$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…8713backed Chargers | 69c | 5,173$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bengals | 18c | 5,140$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.1 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…1ca2backed Bengals | 46c | 5,100$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…0d16backed Chargers | 54c | 5,100$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…69aebacked Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…a7dfbacked Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…83d6backed Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Chargers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…ed0bbacked Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…b702backed Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…4cc6backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…ec16backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…92b2backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…cbe5backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…fe32backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…2650backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…3c57backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…c77fbacked Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…9c2fbacked Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Bengals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1f86backed Bengals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…5711backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a1e9backed Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Bengals | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…9e19backed Chargers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…8e55backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…a865backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3130…8b38backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…5296backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212f…2decbacked Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…0100backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…71f9backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…c65dbacked Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Chargers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…6745backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5986backed Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Chargers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…782ebacked Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…19a9backed Bengals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed Bengals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.