Champions League · resolved market
Will Girona beat Sturm Graz?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a7b69abc1d76efc78d7c33d35410bc3cc19b6c689a9135a6f24338ecc0bd81b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 53c | 3,058$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 49c | 2,619$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.09 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,501$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 52c | 1,459$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.39 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 48c | 1,456$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,180$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.53 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 53c | 904.75$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.41 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 46c | 796.6$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.44 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 60c | 707.46$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.47 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Yes | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 40c | 594.8$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 50c | 490.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.17 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…36b4backed Yes | 44c | 406.82$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 47c | 375$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 299.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Yes | 54c | 133.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 46c | 133.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 19c | 102.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 51c | 102.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 53c | 100.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 53c | 90.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 52.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…5076backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…6987backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c65…8291backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +730.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…9666backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1d…32f3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona beat Sturm Graz?this page
- Will Sturm Graz beat Girona?Yes won
- Will the match between Sturm Graz and Girona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.