NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b66493e2de484ca8de13e5d3750cd7c135d1501621dc4837588c0b32245866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof 76ers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Heat | 60c | 7,494$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed 76ers | 1c | 7,360$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers | 36c | 6,493$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.63 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers | 40c | 6,152$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Heat | 42c | 6,001$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.52 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Heat | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers | 39c | 4,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.96 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Heat | 78c | 3,910$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 76ers | 41c | 3,682$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.37 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 61c | 3,507$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.74 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Heat | 39c | 3,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed 76ers | 70c | 2,125$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.89 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed 76ers | 65c | 2,098$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.03 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Heat | 65c | 1,640$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.6 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed 76ers | 11c | 1,492$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Heat | 60c | 1,468$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed 76ers | 43c | 1,467$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Heat | 61c | 1,289$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked 76ers | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…aa82backed 76ers | 25c | 1,142$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed 76ers | 40c | 1,009$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.63 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked 76ers | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked 76ers | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Heat | 43c | 940$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…9bbdbacked 76ers | 16c | 751.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 76ers | 63c | 727.23$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Heat | 60c | 713.36$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.48 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed 76ers | 40c | 672$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed Heat | 58c | 671.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked 76ers | 42c | 666.06$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.79 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Heat | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed 76ers | 35c | 571.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Heat | 65c | 539.89$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Heat | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 40c | 447.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Heat | 53c | 423.06$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.06 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 76ers | 50c | 418.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Heat | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…5308backed Heat | 65c | 402.3$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Heat | 61c | 329.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…d2cfbacked Heat | 64c | 312.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Heat | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Heat | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3002…a7dcbacked Heat | 59c | 299.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…5c0dbacked 76ers | 43c | 295.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked Heat | 57c | 291$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Heat | 58c | 291$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…3173backed 76ers | 41c | 290.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…1ea2backed Heat | 63c | 285.5$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Heat | 52c | 280$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Heat | 68c | 278.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Heat | 58c | 263.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed 76ers | 51c | 255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Heat | 60c | 250.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed 76ers | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked 76ers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked 76ers | 77c | 235.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed 76ers | 40c | 220.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed 76ers | 33c | 220.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed 76ers | 51c | 216.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked 76ers | 32c | 212.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Heat | 72c | 207.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 60c | 205$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked 76ers | 49c | 203.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed 76ers | 43c | 199.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed 76ers | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9cabbacked 76ers | 43c | 175.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed 76ers | 28c | 167.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…a77bbacked Heat | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Heat | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Heat | 61c | 164.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c6c1backed Heat | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 52c | 159.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked 76ers | 37c | 152.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…576dbacked Heat | 66c | 151.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…35d7backed 76ers | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Heat | 67c | 148.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers | 37c | 148.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed 76ers | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Heat | 59c | 138.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Heat | 60c | 134.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…9447backed Heat | 43c | 130.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Heat | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked 76ers | 33c | 127.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked 76ers | 34c | 120.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…859fbacked Heat | 60c | 120.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…77a1backed Heat | 60c | 112.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…fd70backed 76ers | 41c | 107.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c01…48b4backed 76ers | 43c | 107.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked 76ers | 33c | 107.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked 76ers | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a3…8649backed Heat | 61c | 100.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…46d4backed 76ers | 40c | 100.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…4aa7backed Heat | 61c | 100.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…93afbacked Heat | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Heat | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed 76ers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.