Movies · resolved market
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb86397510b6c712164e9c6a9f1bc73048420ae3398625f1c35e9aebbe6c03d24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d0…d64dbacked Yes | 46c | 21,700$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…477fbacked Yes | 46c | 21,500$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…102abacked Yes | 46c | 21,500$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…2453backed Yes | 46c | 21,000$9,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…0e63backed No | 54c | 11,700$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…f5e6backed No | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…766abacked No | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…afc0backed No | 54c | 10,800$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…4d42backed No | 54c | 10,700$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560c…22ecbacked No | 54c | 10,500$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…e142backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…b8a4backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…d2e4backed Yes | 57c | 1,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 50c | 1,417$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 58c | 1,286$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 52c | 1,266$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.84 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…885bbacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…1838backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…fd0abacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…ffc5backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…3f76backed Yes | 51c | 975$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4307…b898backed Yes | 52c | 975$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4b…f338backed No | 49c | 975$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8722…2df4backed No | 48c | 975$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…c6c6backed No | 52c | 970$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd88…10b3backed No | 52c | 970$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…c836backed Yes | 48c | 970$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…3505backed Yes | 48c | 970$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…2cabbacked Yes | 48c | 960$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…6808backed No | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…1093backed No | 53c | 960$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…c78cbacked Yes | 47c | 960$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…bdf2backed No | 54c | 950$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…40e0backed Yes | 46c | 950$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…7957backed Yes | 46c | 950$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…461bbacked No | 54c | 950$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 903$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.53 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed No | 45c | 871.81$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…6382backed Yes | 55c | 871.81$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 50c | 843.77$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 50c | 764.58$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.64 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 44c | 700$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 53c | 635$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 600.55$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 62c | 544.29$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Yes | 38c | 522.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 50c | 450$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 50c | 340.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 42c | 304.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 43c | 298$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Yes | 51c | 292.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 51c | 258$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 50c | 252.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 45c | 205.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…667ebacked Yes | 50c | 204.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…abc3backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 31c | 199.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…76b4backed Yes | 54c | 186.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 49c | 176.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 23c | 174.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Yes | 52c | 169$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed Yes | 41c | 168.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 155.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 58c | 137.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 17c | 134.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…6b34backed Yes | 44c | 124.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…4adbbacked Yes | 56c | 123.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…6884backed Yes | 51c | 119.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…07d1backed Yes | 53c | 117.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb12…cd7fbacked Yes | 45c | 111.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 48c | 107.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 54c | 105.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…17aebacked No | 53c | 104.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…18a6backed Yes | 52c | 103.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…274dbacked Yes | 55c | 100.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…b767backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a56…0fc7backed No | 52c | 98.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…a82cbacked Yes | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…bd12backed No | 51c | 95.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…690ebacked Yes | 47c | 92.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Yes | 40c | 89.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…db92backed Yes | 52c | 89.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a7…4868backed No | 55c | 89.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 56c | 88.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb565…bc27backed No | 60c | 87.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…c60ebacked No | 62c | 86.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fe…f453backed Yes | 45c | 84.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 46c | 82.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 52c | 80.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…1295backed No | 60c | 78.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 51c | 76.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…2a69backed Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…1dc8backed No | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…96cfbacked No | 55c | 74.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…fb5ebacked No | 57c | 74.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?this page
- Will Gabriel Labelle win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?No won
- Will Glen Powell win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?No won
- Will Hugh Grant win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?No won
- Will Jesse Plemons win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?No won
- Will Sebastian Stan win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.