NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9fb6213c7bf6375953d065ef961676ed9647d6f4c97d1d9f335d3a8777c1c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Heat, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers | 77c | 14,639$11,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.36 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Pacers | 60c | 10,862$6,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.84 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Heat | 26c | 7,117$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 26c | 6,866$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.12 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Pacers | 63c | 5,037$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers | 59c | 5,031$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.39 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…69aebacked Pacers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Heat | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…2650backed Pacers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…3c57backed Pacers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Heat | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…8e55backed Pacers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…71f9backed Heat | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Heat | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Pacers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…23d7backed Heat | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Heat | 30c | 4,404$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…e6bbbacked Heat | 20c | 3,828$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Heat | 23c | 3,744$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.24 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…3b5abacked Pacers | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Heat | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Heat | 39c | 2,785$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.96 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Heat | 25c | 2,775$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.67 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Heat | 21c | 2,645$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.84 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Heat | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Pacers | 60c | 2,232$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.81 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Pacers | 61c | 2,200$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…b441backed Heat | 46c | 2,193$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 40c | 1,842$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.84 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Heat | 30c | 1,723$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.3 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 34c | 1,663$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.07 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Heat | 40c | 1,563$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 5c | 1,473$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pacers | 70c | 1,369$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.92 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Heat | 39c | 1,267$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Heat | 32c | 1,083$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 55c | 1,001$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.02 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Heat | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Pacers | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers | 67c | 951.43$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Heat | 33c | 700.57$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Pacers | 65c | 619.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Heat | 36c | 603.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat | 20c | 590.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Heat | 37c | 572$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Heat | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…f21fbacked Heat | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Heat | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Heat | 32c | 492.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Heat | 17c | 456$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Pacers | 59c | 443.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…6ab9backed Pacers | 70c | 412.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Pacers | 57c | 397.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…d659backed Heat | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Heat | 39c | 381.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Pacers | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…1416backed Heat | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Pacers | 64c | 314.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Pacers | 77c | 313.36$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 43c | 308.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Pacers | 73c | 300.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…7f82backed Heat | 5c | 285.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…4a10backed Pacers | 62c | 272.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +253.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Pacers | 67c | 272.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 33c | 252.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Pacers | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Pacers | 66c | 226.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Heat | 23c | 200.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Heat | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Heat | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Heat | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Heat | 27c | 179.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 44c | 178.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Pacers | 56c | 178.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pacers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Pacers | 58c | 170.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 20c | 163.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…8868backed Pacers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Heat | 14c | 159.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Pacers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Heat | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Heat | 15c | 151.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Heat | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Heat | 14c | 139.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…33f9backed Pacers | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Heat | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…818bbacked Heat | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…60d0backed Pacers | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Heat | 39c | 119.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Pacers | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…7884backed Heat | 45c | 112.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 39c | 110.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7564…4af0backed Heat | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…f802backed Pacers | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Pacers | 56c | 107.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Heat | 39c | 101.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…9c03backed Pacers | 56c | 101$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…4e51backed Heat | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.