College Football · resolved market
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9766858089872083c10cf821f26df52ef4c0d9a5cba8977c50ca7621c3685a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 2c | 17,667$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 3c | 5,525$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 3c | 3,800$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,343$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.33 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 41c | 2,241$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 32c | 1,768$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…70bebacked No | 3c | 1,521$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,417$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 4c | 1,402$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 52c | 1,388$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,338$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 1,332$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked No | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 3c | 1,008$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 911.63$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Yes | 78c | 901.53$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…77d1backed Yes | 67c | 851.06$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 37c | 735.35$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.01 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 17c | 714.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 671.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 4c | 611.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 67c | 571.83$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -8.5wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 79c | 561.18$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 48c | 539.96$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.23 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 61c | 470$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 36c | 464.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.33 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…8b35backed Yes | 34c | 442.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 440.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 42c | 406.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 39c | 403.22$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 3c | 398.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 33c | 382$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 32c | 379.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 39c | 362.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 20c | 345.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…2598backed No | 60c | 332.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 6c | 320.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 39c | 303$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 67c | 299$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 61c | 286$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Yes | 51c | 284.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked Yes | 33c | 281.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…8e8abacked Yes | 29c | 277.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed No | 56c | 249.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 38c | 249.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Yes | 29c | 241.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 56c | 238.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 217.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 44c | 216.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 32c | 207$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 39c | 204$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 61c | 189$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…0446backed No | 11c | 182.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…175fbacked No | 62c | 168$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 61c | 167$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 62c | 164$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 33c | 162$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 37c | 161.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 39c | 145$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 62c | 143$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 61c | 143$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed No | 61c | 131$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 54c | 123.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 121.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 28c | 115.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 17c | 114.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 38c | 114$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfd…9126backed Yes | 46c | 98.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…cc21backed Yes | 32c | 92.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No | 61c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…f77cbacked Yes | 17c | 85.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +471.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 39c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 67c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 58c | 73.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed Yes | 41c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 52c | 64.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked Yes | 48c | 60.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…8c17backed Yes | 40c | 58.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +229.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 39c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 51.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…e845backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 38c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +866.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Yes | 77c | 40.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?this page
- Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Austin Simmons win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Cade Klubnik win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will DJ Lagway win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dante Moore win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Garrett Nussemeier win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Gunner Stockton win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jeremiah Smith win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jeremiyah Love win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will John Mateer win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will LaNorris Sellers win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ty Simpson win the Heisman Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.