College Football · resolved market
Will Jeremiyah Love win the Heisman Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b51776281182d704876bf1985823a2e7c94de3d846587abdbea056134f189e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 22,802$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 1c | 7,435$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…2598backed Yes | 27c | 7,181$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 1c | 4,890$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…51abbacked Yes | 1c | 3,988$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 2c | 3,480$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Yes | 1c | 3,165$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,426$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 76c | 1,282$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 1,177$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.16 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…b6a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 9c | 925.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -8.5wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…95fbbacked Yes | 2c | 795.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 20c | 786.21$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd956…ea37backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 74c | 463.55$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 10c | 345$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 297.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6d…a196backed Yes | 5c | 288.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 12c | 239.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 8cpaid | +517.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 26c | 237.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…7938backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 71c | 187.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…77abbacked Yes | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 29c | 136.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3a…59d7backed Yes | 28c | 87.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked No | 76c | 64.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…bdccbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 30.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 78c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce87…2f3fbacked No | 72c | 23.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked No | 68c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed No | 77c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…24a5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeremiyah Love win the Heisman Trophy?this page
- Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Austin Simmons win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Cade Klubnik win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will DJ Lagway win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dante Moore win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?Yes won
- Will Garrett Nussemeier win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Gunner Stockton win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jeremiah Smith win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will John Mateer win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will LaNorris Sellers win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ty Simpson win the Heisman Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.