College Football · resolved market
Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef5f93ca4c63f394d76687ba9e78c50699513b3275b65e2b2eba4ebc3da1ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH)of Miami (OH), Bowling Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Bowling Green | 58c | 2,062$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Miami (OH) | 42c | 1,504$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Miami (OH) | 62c | 906.8$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Miami (OH) | 74c | 673.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bowling Green | 5c | 658.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bowling Green | 45c | 655.56$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Miami (OH) | 75c | 530.21$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Bowling Green | 58c | 505.17$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Bowling Green | 24c | 494.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Miami (OH) | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Bowling Green | 23c | 435.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Bowling Green | 56c | 364.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 290.46$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Bowling Green | 29c | 258.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bowling Green | 55c | 235.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…1918backed Bowling Green | 40c | 227.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…6cdabacked Bowling Green | 30c | 204.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…d536backed Bowling Green | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Bowling Green | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…08c3backed Miami (OH) | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Miami (OH) | 79c | 194.18$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Miami (OH) | 43c | 184.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Bowling Green | 9c | 183.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 10cpaid | +1,186.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Miami (OH) | 43c | 181.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +294.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Miami (OH) | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Miami (OH) | 44c | 149$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Miami (OH) | 42c | 124.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Miami (OH) | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Bowling Green | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Bowling Green | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Bowling Green | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Miami (OH) | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Miami (OH) | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Bowling Green | 54c | 91.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…0ba5backed Miami (OH) | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Bowling Green | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Miami (OH) | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…1e2bbacked Bowling Green | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed Miami (OH) | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…1fcbbacked Bowling Green | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed Bowling Green | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1f…ab5bbacked Miami (OH) | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…9974backed Miami (OH) | 75c | 32.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…26f5backed Miami (OH) | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…32cdbacked Miami (OH) | 80c | 22.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed Bowling Green | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…db81backed Bowling Green | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.