College Football · resolved market
Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2f6669a6edfda79c036f337a13940ee1486e22f0fee99a34933b702cd9ff8f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesotaof Minnesota, Wisconsin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd398…c487backed Wisconsin | 51c | 13,763$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Minnesota | 51c | 6,744$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wisconsin | 1c | 5,429$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Minnesota | 45c | 5,225$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.38 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wisconsin | 48c | 3,694$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.82 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Minnesota | 76c | 3,267$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.75 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minnesota | 53c | 2,360$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.22 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Minnesota | 50c | 2,125$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.47 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Minnesota | 53c | 1,803$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Wisconsin | 50c | 1,397$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Wisconsin | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Wisconsin | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Wisconsin | 53c | 699.95$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wisconsin | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wisconsin | 34c | 585.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Minnesota | 51c | 563.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Minnesota | 63c | 527.4$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Minnesota | 52c | 511$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wisconsin | 12c | 371.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Minnesota | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Minnesota | 46c | 308.27$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Wisconsin | 48c | 308$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…96b7backed Wisconsin | 50c | 300.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Minnesota | 52c | 270$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Minnesota | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Wisconsin | 49c | 226.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…8c15backed Minnesota | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Wisconsin | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Minnesota | 50c | 187.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…f8f6backed Minnesota | 55c | 178.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Minnesota | 53c | 136.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…99dabacked Minnesota | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…076cbacked Wisconsin | 50c | 117.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…502bbacked Minnesota | 51c | 109.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…2efdbacked Wisconsin | 50c | 109.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Minnesota | 51c | 109.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Minnesota | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Wisconsin | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Minnesota | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…1918backed Minnesota | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Wisconsin | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed Wisconsin | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Minnesota | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wisconsin | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Wisconsin | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…01eebacked Minnesota | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…e6c8backed Wisconsin | 55c | 97.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Wisconsin | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…b43cbacked Minnesota | 71c | 88.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Minnesota | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…d77bbacked Minnesota | 51c | 77.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…a635backed Minnesota | 51c | 76.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Minnesota | 47c | 76.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Minnesota | 54c | 73.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…75f3backed Minnesota | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5911backed Minnesota | 53c | 59.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…0ba5backed Wisconsin | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e43backed Wisconsin | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…03f8backed Minnesota | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Minnesota | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…cd40backed Minnesota | 51c | 47.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Wisconsin | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Wisconsin | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Minnesota | 49c | 31.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked Wisconsin | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…793abacked Wisconsin | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb27…20dfbacked Wisconsin | 51c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…8f19backed Wisconsin | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…25d9backed Wisconsin | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…a285backed Wisconsin | 49c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…9f8ebacked Minnesota | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Minnesota | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed Wisconsin | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…0e56backed Minnesota | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…58cbbacked Wisconsin | 51c | 19.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.