NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13afbdb98ab1ddcfb0dd9cd4d96d561e0b4e255521c10bd3a83b2f18205fa537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 1c | 5,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons | 74c | 4,614$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.57 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 4,496$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…8d2ebacked Wizards | 34c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 35c | 2,600$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Wizards | 26c | 1,889$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.24 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Pistons | 65c | 933.33$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.66 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…f21fbacked Pistons | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wizards | 27c | 610.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Pistons | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Wizards | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Pistons | 77c | 408.85$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons | 72c | 400$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…35d7backed Wizards | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Wizards | 32c | 288.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Wizards | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Pistons | 64c | 259.22$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Wizards | 35c | 259$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…457cbacked Wizards | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Wizards | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pistons | 69c | 249.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb2…0464backed Pistons | 67c | 237.31$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Wizards | 33c | 209.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…62f9backed Pistons | 66c | 183.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 28c | 177.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 32c | 176.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Pistons | 65c | 153.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…9a60backed Pistons | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Pistons | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Pistons | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…576dbacked Pistons | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Pistons | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…7776backed Pistons | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 22c | 149.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pistons | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Pistons | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Pistons | 63c | 134.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…1ea2backed Wizards | 25c | 120.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Wizards | 36c | 115.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 34c | 110.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Wizards | 35c | 110.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pistons | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Wizards | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Pistons | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…063ebacked Wizards | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa5…c8abbacked Wizards | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…bc11backed Pistons | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…920ebacked Pistons | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…9d95backed Wizards | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…89cbbacked Pistons | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…0498backed Pistons | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Wizards | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Wizards | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea92…32e0backed Wizards | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…30f4backed Pistons | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…d89ebacked Pistons | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…7c5abacked Wizards | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Wizards | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e5…153cbacked Pistons | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…39b3backed Wizards | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…d421backed Wizards | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…81ffbacked Pistons | 65c | 96.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…da89backed Wizards | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a5…42f6backed Pistons | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…475ebacked Wizards | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…f4efbacked Pistons | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…28c6backed Wizards | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…7c3abacked Pistons | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…8f4ebacked Wizards | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…84e2backed Pistons | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…776abacked Wizards | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…6597backed Pistons | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Wizards | 18c | 87.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…fe14backed Wizards | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…4622backed Pistons | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…dcffbacked Wizards | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…279abacked Pistons | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Pistons | 64c | 79.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Pistons | 70c | 79.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…a77bbacked Pistons | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…85a7backed Pistons | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Wizards | 35c | 74.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…b25dbacked Pistons | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b1…4f3fbacked Wizards | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Pistons | 72c | 67.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…785fbacked Pistons | 65c | 66.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…2896backed Wizards | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…550abacked Pistons | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…9056backed Wizards | 33c | 61.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Wizards | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…785cbacked Pistons | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…edecbacked Pistons | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…09a9backed Wizards | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…ce37backed Wizards | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…c8bfbacked Pistons | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Wizards | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…9b70backed Pistons | 66c | 53.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…3bbfbacked Wizards | 36c | 53.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.