TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Pistons, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Grizzlies72c15,344$10,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.9415056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Grizzlies77c5,468$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.48561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Pistons23c3,357$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.567354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…4106backed Pistons26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Grizzlies73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8102055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons24c2,917$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.711,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd889…cf51backed Pistons32c2,507$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons26c2,372$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.91,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons27c1,823$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.171,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pistons28c1,760$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons2c1,586$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.411,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pistons27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Pistons27c1,493$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c53…30cdbacked Grizzlies75c1,208$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.921030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Pistons25c1,208$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Pistons4c1,200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Grizzlies73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies76c1,000$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Grizzlies77c999.95$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Pistons4c979.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6811926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Grizzlies74c967.58$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5728063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies74c871.12$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons22c835.23$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7519642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Pistons25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pistons22c778.76$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Grizzlies75c746.8$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.78043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Pistons11c720$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.611719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons32c708.77$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Pistons26c682.59$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4711834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons24c490.2$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.611,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Pistons27c368.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ed…2290backed Pistons25c360$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies75c340$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.91573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Pistons38c334.37$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.069052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Grizzlies65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24b9…7aa4backed Grizzlies77c241.49$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.542060%12 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pistons25c234.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6311143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Grizzlies65c226$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.778460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Pistons23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies78c204.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.031,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Pistons24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Pistons27c184.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505038%19 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies71c179.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.651,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Pistons30c172.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.623447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons28c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Grizzlies79c149.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8512154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…6f4fbacked Pistons27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Pistons23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Grizzlies75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3310153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f46…255ebacked Grizzlies76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Grizzlies79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.325651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Pistons40c125.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.232927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Pistons23c125.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.211035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pistons30c124.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2117244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Grizzlies77c124.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.17653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Grizzlies75c111$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7520245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Grizzlies75c109.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0611235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Pistons23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Grizzlies79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2130954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Grizzlies78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2258754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Pistons25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Pistons34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Pistons38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387339.7%29 W · 44 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pistons22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a0…ed74backed Grizzlies78c96.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.153773%27 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d46…3bffbacked Pistons19c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54922.4%11 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Pistons23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pistons22c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe555…782fbacked Pistons23c78.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Grizzlies69c74.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.551,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb541…947fbacked Grizzlies77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.14266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Grizzlies77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9484957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea55…2b03backed Grizzlies77c64.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Pistons32c63.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons19c61.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Pistons31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.614542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Grizzlies60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Pistons29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.527642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Grizzlies70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1540448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…d75dbacked Pistons26c49.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…a04bbacked Pistons30c46.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.892842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Pistons25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117021.4%15 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee5e…e5a7backed Pistons25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Grizzlies76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4719757.4%113 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Grizzlies73c38.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.330243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies74c34.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Grizzlies74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7818053.3%96 W · 84 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4951…ec9bbacked Grizzlies77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.475658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…280dbacked Grizzlies78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.052657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72d…7ee9backed Grizzlies77c31.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.241877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eef…4a0ebacked Grizzlies70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Grizzlies77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9710361.2%63 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Grizzlies69c23.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1324549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcf…fb25backed Grizzlies72c21.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.988100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Grizzlies79c20.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2611375.2%85 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Grizzlies74c20.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.176753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Grizzlies75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.122955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.