TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$407,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$425,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa22b…3525backed Nets14c25,398$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,857.473534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…a35bbacked Nets25c16,883$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,658.923724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors59c11,864$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8823…4c34backed Warriors13c9,159$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets50c8,323$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.951,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Warriors5c6,818$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.728417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Warriors8c6,032$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6310926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets14c5,679$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…908cbacked Nets14c5,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets18c5,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.831,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Warriors66c4,806$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.5830954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Nets15c4,801$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.6312841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…f310backed Warriors23c4,783$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.093435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Warriors51c4,643$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.796744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nets4c4,109$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,956.5618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Warriors73c3,561$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.384060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd889…cf51backed Nets15c3,395$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Nets12c3,177$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.382343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Nets14c2,927$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.6411834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Nets20c2,900$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.3523835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Warriors18c2,750$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.611926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Nets60c2,665$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.925561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae22…4bb7backed Nets23c2,317$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.422839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Nets11c2,115$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.9516617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Nets44c1,710$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.9123646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Nets65c1,630$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.7611459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Nets54c1,418$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.0919650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Nets13c1,354$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.961030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Nets23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.352441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Nets7c1,251$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.83619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Nets14c1,250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0753531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Nets53c1,086$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6310054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets15c1,011$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.271,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Nets14c1,000$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86023548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets14c1,000$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Nets13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8706426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Nets14c1,000$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8604045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Nets13c999.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.998043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets4c984.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.021,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d7…fab0backed Nets11c951$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Warriors77c920.71$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.1329043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Nets75c890.44$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.368150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…a7e8backed Warriors55c878.66$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Nets8c825.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.013132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Warriors16c810.54$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3912752%66 W · 61 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors46c803.19$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3736748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Nets8c772.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.012165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Nets14c771.43$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.434136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Warriors60c754.55$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.737958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Nets17c737.84$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.374949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae8…a9c3backed Nets14c717.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Warriors30c716.68$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f2…79d0backed Nets5c715.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.291421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+77.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b93…9915backed Nets14c712.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.062920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Nets52c703.98$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4723956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Warriors34c684.1$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Nets15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.675933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Nets15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6711135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd869…c092backed Nets14c642.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Nets14c500$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43017464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc726…c39abacked Nets16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Nets10c473.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3384…8563backed Warriors50c435.78$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Nets44c420.23$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.649052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5a…3a8ebacked Nets6c402.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.21533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+153.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1166…94acbacked Nets31c377.21$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.82548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Nets14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.144126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Nets12c344.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2910334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd6…1833backed Nets57c340.67$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Warriors15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets11c322.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.261,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Nets16c316.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.054030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets8c309.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.047502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9037…1621backed Nets74c307.75$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Nets13c292.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3915640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors79c291.76$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Nets15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.676144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3d…657dbacked Nets76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Warriors31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Nets21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.117834.8%62 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Nets30c237.85$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0516440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa525…f7c9backed Nets24c229.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2ba…2373backed Nets19c221.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Nets9c211.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.665617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed Warriors25c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6815041.3%62 W · 88 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17229635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453c…f5eebacked Nets15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+92.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5acb…e88fbacked Nets15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Nets14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1725250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Warriors49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.23450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55a…32e3backed Nets53c189.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.264341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Nets54c185.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.373145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Nets12c177.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5311143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Nets14c164.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.299431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df2…29cebacked Nets10c155.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.163135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Warriors13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Nets49c151.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.223161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Nets20c151.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.962425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x984d…f8eabacked Warriors14c149.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.371711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid+35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Nets14c148.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6527631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.