TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b93…9915

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+407.6%+$101.01
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+259.1%+$35.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.07
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.85
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.47
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.64
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.14
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.69
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$12.85
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$29.71
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$25.48
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+169.9%+$69.84
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$38.89
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50.07
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+543.3%+$220.41
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$68.89
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$10.9
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$67.08
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$48.89
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$59.9
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+171.7%+$113.16
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$79.9
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.46
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$19.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$52.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20.78
Will Bodo Glimt beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$110.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.3
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$139.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.