TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Pacers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Pacers0c48,699$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.772241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Pacers0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pacers17c10,944$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.0247542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Pacers12c10,941$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers16c10,050$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.451,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers3c9,999$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers5c7,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Pacers16c6,225$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9823627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers15c5,874$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.9272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Pacers10c4,772$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.14344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Pacers17c4,200$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7142142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa165…d7adbacked Pacers4c3,754$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Pacers1c2,580$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics80c2,463$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5437954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers14c2,350$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pacers18c2,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5df…b469backed Pacers9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Pacers17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf892…9769backed Pacers14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Pacers15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Pacers14c1,258$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Pacers17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c18…201bbacked Pacers17c1,053$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pacers19c1,038$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Pacers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers3c998$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.691,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Pacers12c956.03$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29da…4d30backed Pacers15c875.62$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.34742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pacers6c816.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4793036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Pacers17c696.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers16c681.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10738027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pacers17c600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Pacers17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers8c579.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.011,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Pacers19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Pacers17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Pacers14c500$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6842434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed Pacers16c500$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796258.1%36 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b1…b397backed Pacers18c499.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Pacers5c481.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2265726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2239…c9c0backed Pacers8c472.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa14…631ebacked Pacers5c433.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Pacers15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pacers16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6435046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Pacers16c399.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.975240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Pacers13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Pacers15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Pacers16c317.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Pacers16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Pacers16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x822f…ca5fbacked Pacers13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Pacers16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Pacers17c295.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1711428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Pacers7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ae…4c93backed Pacers19c273.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852a…58f6backed Pacers19c263.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pacers4c258.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…3084backed Pacers19c210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f30…1379backed Pacers12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232025%5 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Pacers18c199.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9220245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Pacers13c196.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.256743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e1…c6e2backed Pacers15c171.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Pacers15c158.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6310837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ec…a3b9backed Pacers19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pacers17c150.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6694951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf74…c136backed Pacers11c138.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152924.1%7 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…9b67backed Pacers15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Pacers15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64fa…7f82backed Pacers15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Pacers17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Pacers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…a50cbacked Celtics80c117$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Pacers17c110.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Pacers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1793041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Pacers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa483…c2b6backed Pacers15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb474…0c0bbacked Pacers15c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Pacers17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1588335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…203cbacked Pacers20c87.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked Pacers18c87.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.757950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cad…3079backed Pacers13c87.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b93…9915backed Pacers15c85.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.852920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers18c84.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562d…6433backed Pacers16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c1…bd9abacked Pacers20c75.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0745…4428backed Pacers19c72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af4…706ebacked Pacers17c70.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.614134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x34b9…4f5dbacked Pacers16c67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e01…47a6backed Pacers19c63.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Pacers16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107939.2%31 W · 48 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1886…6cc5backed Pacers16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016360.7%99 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c2…4992backed Pacers27c59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.968748.3%42 W · 45 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfda4…0529backed Pacers24c56.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77cd…e004backed Pacers21c49.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af0…cf36backed Celtics79c44.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…dfe2backed Celtics79c39.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce45…2b51backed Celtics76c37.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c72…275abacked Pacers28c37.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.