TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Hornets, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Hornets17c33,193$5,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,642.749248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8d…b622backed Hornets0c14,630$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x128e…a35bbacked Hornets18c10,833$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.573724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Hornets24c8,596$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.6521649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c64…1d7abacked Hornets9c7,557$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets12c5,153$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.311,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Hornets11c5,030$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.268219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets12c5,000$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.751,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets10c4,500$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b52…2c31backed Hornets11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Hornets11c2,738$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.871729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae22…4bb7backed Hornets13c2,542$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.062839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Hornets10c2,429$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.862725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets10c2,268$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.881,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Hornets1c2,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.23132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets21c1,957$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f0…974dbacked Hornets11c1,788$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hornets10c1,389$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9811143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets16c1,349$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.891,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hornets21c1,243$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6425833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets14c1,215$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.711,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6a…292fbacked Hornets10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Hornets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Knicks77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Hornets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Knicks80c999.99$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hornets10c865.69$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5729148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eae…a3f0backed Hornets11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x818f…428dbacked Hornets12c757.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…7667backed Hornets12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Hornets12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets2c674.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.257502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Knicks80c664.71$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.945536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Hornets20c638.89$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7819350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Knicks79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.915438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbf…b1b3backed Hornets10c595$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets10c581.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.161,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf1…5014backed Hornets11c534.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.42119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-76.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets21c506.02$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5945135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Hornets11c500.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.25038%19 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Hornets16c500$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaff…036dbacked Hornets11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…2d82backed Hornets10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3d…7a47backed Hornets11c399.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa22…c275backed Hornets11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-84.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5a…3a8ebacked Hornets11c356.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.221533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+153.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hornets12c350$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b93…9915backed Hornets24c336.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.92920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Hornets9c333$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9720245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Knicks80c299.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9610243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa945…8201backed Hornets11c280$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Hornets18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Hornets10c269.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.984348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x937b…833fbacked Hornets10c251.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Hornets24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets11c231.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6894…a7cfbacked Hornets15c227.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.141540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Hornets24c205.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hornets21c200.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Hornets10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hornets18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets10c199.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c9…0400backed Hornets20c197.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets18c169.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b07…fc5ebacked Hornets12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets11c166$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.661,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5fa…22adbacked Hornets10c149.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Hornets11c145.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf4…be2fbacked Hornets10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Hornets11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510839.8%43 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…83bdbacked Hornets11c129.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf5…d2e5backed Hornets11c128.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb8…b625backed Hornets20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…45bdbacked Hornets11c123.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.541361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets21c122.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd89…0714backed Hornets11c120.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…e324backed Hornets11c118.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.071353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6955…fb02backed Hornets11c114.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4201…3ac9backed Hornets11c114.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Hornets15c113.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5140448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb098…161dbacked Hornets16c110.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Hornets10c109.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x065d…2354backed Hornets11c105.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.571353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19a8…c50ebacked Hornets11c101.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Hornets21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab3…4b24backed Hornets11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2856…ed0ebacked Hornets22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227022.9%16 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1de9…280dbacked Hornets10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Hornets11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f7…3da2backed Hornets11c99.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59d…301dbacked Hornets11c98.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc837…174abacked Hornets11c96.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Hornets15c94.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2511235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa718…fdc4backed Hornets11c93.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-82.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hornets16c78.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5b…4d43backed Hornets26c62.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.