NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Grizzlies

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4438552d14de0fbda1ac3180f7eb059cd1cf46a562d8612ae881c1a3eb453713

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Nets, Grizzlies
Resolved: Dec 14, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $270,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $303,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,172 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe6a2…6af8backed Nets	21c	23,876$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Nets	1c	14,119$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.49	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets	18c	11,326$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,991.22	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Grizzlies	79c	11,242$8,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,362.25	150	56.7%85 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Nets	2c	10,311$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.72	139	20.1%28 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets	5c	9,560$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.01	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets	6c	8,167$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.14	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets	19c	5,419$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.68	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Nets	4c	5,254$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.23	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	+85.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Nets	18c	5,019$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.21	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Nets	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	25.7%28 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Nets	22c	3,970$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.52	109	21.1%23 W · 86 L	-10.5wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets	7c	3,669$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.48	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets	2c	2,815$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.57	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets	16c	2,600$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.99	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Nets	14c	2,158$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.94	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaed…5bb2backed Nets	1c	2,094$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.14	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.20per pick	14cpaid	+171.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Nets	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Nets	17c	1,764$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.87	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12cd…ab49backed Nets	6c	1,398$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.33	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf848…03abbacked Nets	19c	1,319$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.52	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Nets	18c	1,236$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.95	949	51.3%487 W · 462 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Nets	17c	1,179$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.36	196	50%98 W · 98 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f5…84f2backed Nets	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d03…8222backed Grizzlies	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Nets	16c	999.97$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked Nets	19c	999.97$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed Grizzlies	79c	868.94$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies	79c	832.44$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.39	723	41.2%298 W · 425 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Nets	19c	808.85$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	216	5.6%12 W · 204 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies	80c	779$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.8	577	60.5%349 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Nets	20c	775$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x879b…9cb2backed Grizzlies	79c	661$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.81	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d73…5693backed Grizzlies	79c	658.06$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.19	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked Nets	9c	613.88$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.69	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Grizzlies	80c	612.5$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.5	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+9.1wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nets	3c	600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Grizzlies	77c	600$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	304	40.5%123 W · 181 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets	17c	591.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0657…6f49backed Nets	17c	500.06$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Nets	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	166	17.5%29 W · 137 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Nets	19c	499.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacc8…7ef9backed Nets	16c	499.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Nets	21c	476.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Nets	17c	433.01$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	336	38.1%128 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets	17c	403.92$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.47	291	48.8%142 W · 149 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Grizzlies	79c	387.18$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.31	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Nets	12c	347.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	174	20.1%35 W · 139 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacd3…12d0backed Nets	17c	306.76$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.11	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Nets	8c	303.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Nets	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets	21c	300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	227	21.6%49 W · 178 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7fd…95aebacked Nets	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Nets	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	424	34.4%146 W · 278 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets	14c	290.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.06	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f63…ea2dbacked Nets	17c	289.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.29	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nets	12c	286.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.23	398	43.5%173 W · 225 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Nets	10c	254.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	306	48.7%149 W · 157 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Nets	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets	13c	246.19$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	701	47.8%335 W · 366 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nets	21c	237.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	381	32.8%125 W · 256 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed41…0fb0backed Nets	20c	226.94$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Nets	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies	77c	216.08$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Nets	16c	199.94$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	199	43.7%87 W · 112 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd76…6c23backed Nets	19c	188.24$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Nets	21c	155.01$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.18	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+23%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Nets	14c	154.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Nets	16c	149.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf78d…1be3backed Nets	19c	130.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Nets	21c	121.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-17.6wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Nets	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…d4edbacked Nets	17c	113.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e17…779abacked Nets	19c	111.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	29	79.3%23 W · 6 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	64cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Nets	10c	110.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	657	26%171 W · 486 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Nets	19c	110$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b93…9915backed Nets	10c	109$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Nets	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Nets	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	137	27.7%38 W · 99 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Nets	21c	99.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	883	35.3%312 W · 571 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Nets	21c	99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.79	930	41.9%390 W · 540 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…2ce4backed Nets	17c	96.41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Nets	18c	95.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	90	38.9%35 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Grizzlies	80c	93.75$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	72cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x851b…1b79backed Nets	22c	90.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	18cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Nets	19c	79.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	281	56.2%158 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6faa…5a5bbacked Nets	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9a…c496backed Nets	20c	78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efe…0b2ebacked Nets	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…2da9backed Nets	20c	70.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies	79c	69.79$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+52.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c95…920cbacked Nets	22c	66.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460c…b921backed Nets	20c	65.28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked Grizzlies	79c	65$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa72b…1b8fbacked Nets	17c	60.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3240…4fe5backed Nets	19c	57.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d39…b61bbacked Nets	19c	56.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Grizzlies

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market