Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecce760cc6ff611309bf68f6f75de5453ebd19110b838c2452281031761c92e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 4,099$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.73 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…58cabacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,543$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 1,435$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.89 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 78c | 1,130$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 3c | 808.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…2737backed Yes | 20c | 510.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…4981backed No | 80c | 510.44$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 388$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 78c | 350$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 21c | 266.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 76c | 249.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 4c | 245.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 7c | 239.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…6467backed Yes | 22c | 195.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes | 22c | 192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 177.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…cf63backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 79c | 141.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9915backed Yes | 22c | 134.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 24c | 125.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 77c | 91.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 21c | 77.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 78c | 68.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 20c | 51.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 79c | 38.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…25d8backed No | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…9498backed No | 79c | 21.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…8622backed No | 77c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-02-01?this page
- Will Everton vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton win on 2025-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.