Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9e69272a5e4013eabda9e2b70cbeb3749be02471bb9161f8ae8cb87f80dde1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Yes | 0c | 19,649$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 19,116$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.04 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1b25backed Yes | 32c | 5,963$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 9c | 4,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,825$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 3c | 3,375$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 67c | 3,032$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.35 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Yes | 10c | 2,965$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…801bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,609$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330c…2371backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,977$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…0c21backed Yes | 17c | 1,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…3601backed Yes | 12c | 1,735$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Yes | 8c | 1,700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 42c | 1,363$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.61 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Yes | 8c | 1,322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…7cf3backed Yes | 13c | 1,303$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…0e36backed Yes | 46c | 1,275$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549f…c945backed Yes | 10c | 1,240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…889cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,182$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 4c | 1,118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…636ebacked No | 63c | 1,115$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 16c | 1,056$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 79c | 1,011$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 9c | 999.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…b6ccbacked No | 72c | 978.51$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7dcbbacked Yes | 12c | 964.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…922ebacked Yes | 10c | 866.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 13c | 782.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 3c | 709$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 11c | 685.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Yes | 11c | 570.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 13c | 558.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 13c | 528$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 466.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 7c | 431.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…a870backed Yes | 12c | 423.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 8c | 416.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…5b06backed Yes | 11c | 371.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Yes | 23c | 356.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…e932backed Yes | 6c | 354.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 12c | 328.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed No | 62c | 323.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…399bbacked Yes | 9c | 304.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…34bebacked Yes | 58c | 263.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…4383backed Yes | 10c | 262.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9915backed Yes | 12c | 246.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…853bbacked Yes | 12c | 241.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8de…e12abacked Yes | 11c | 231$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 74c | 228.77$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 72c | 212$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…ae05backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…c49cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…c2e5backed Yes | 16c | 192.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6e…9d3dbacked Yes | 12c | 181.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…7ee6backed Yes | 11c | 179.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 11c | 177$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 14c | 171.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 15c | 167.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…cf5dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…6de5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 11c | 149.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…c0b2backed Yes | 11c | 141.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 127.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035d…3b77backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 15c | 123.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 19c | 114.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 18c | 112.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 12c | 110.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 57c | 105.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 12c | 104.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…d230backed Yes | 11c | 102.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…ad36backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9b2dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +118%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…a285backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…ab76backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…efb1backed Yes | 12c | 93.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…9ababacked Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.