TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$815,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $815,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd42f…047dbacked Celtics4c60,012$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.9322832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls30c33,301$9,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,325.3959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Celtics22c25,126$5,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,406.175911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls24c24,470$5,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,666.6665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls12c23,516$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,682.953,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Bulls9c22,930$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,875.525935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls14c20,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,20049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls4c18,505$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,738.1872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Bulls3c14,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6009625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls43c11,682$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,621.581,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics1c10,070$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.771,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Bulls15c6,021$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.6219137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Bulls75c5,921$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.464060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397c…49e3backed Bulls13c5,412$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,704.913138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Bulls72c5,071$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.9630443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls11c5,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.941,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.7646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls9c4,917$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,473.611,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Celtics2c4,665$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.731,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Celtics31c4,656$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.3210236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls27c4,386$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.6661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Bulls11c4,270$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x149d…e290backed Bulls9c3,510$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+209.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Bulls9c3,323$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.262556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6009…acf9backed Bulls11c3,091$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.913129%9 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8d…46babacked Bulls58c3,065$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.241070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Celtics51c2,800$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4172540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Celtics39c2,671$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.8629661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls11c2,518$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.581,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Bulls8c2,500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3007536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Bulls10c2,300$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.817024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Bulls10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+139.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Bulls73c1,907$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.0826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Bulls2c1,803$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.6923438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Bulls50c1,640$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.8519350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x903c…b459backed Bulls12c1,418$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.52650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3d…f0c9backed Bulls10c1,385$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick37cpaid+138.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4397backed Bulls12c1,250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91db…9b6ebacked Bulls12c1,172$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.25650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Celtics75c1,113$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.841650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Bulls9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1111428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls9c1,110$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.420031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls10c1,100$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.971,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Celtics69c1,021$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Celtics36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls12c999.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.9675347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Bulls53c957.33$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8c…2cb4backed Bulls11c926.82$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+176.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f5…1c1abacked Bulls13c888$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…a7efbacked Bulls14c860$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.61540%6 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c59…b1cebacked Bulls9c849$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+270.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Celtics40c813.51$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Celtics77c780.58$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.4240448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Bulls10c754.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7615234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefbd…d9d8backed Bulls16c739.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+183.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls39c700$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42725651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Celtics75c700$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5265468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b6…a119backed Bulls11c666$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.74425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+127.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Celtics66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x251b…d90dbacked Bulls11c603$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa27…eea1backed Bulls11c600$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+125.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e0e…eda8backed Bulls11c600$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+103.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x979e…3d11backed Bulls13c590.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff5…bdf5backed Bulls11c582.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8400…6772backed Bulls9c555.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Celtics68c555.1$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e4…c023backed Bulls11c555$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.95540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+224.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Bulls11c545.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.4516617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbdb…69b3backed Bulls11c542$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+354.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Bulls15c540.26$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.723318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa155…9517backed Bulls11c540$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+69.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1c…e7f1backed Bulls11c522$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+109.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…5c35backed Bulls11c514.78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.15520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bulls12c500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Bulls10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…3e31backed Bulls11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+135.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls9c500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba35…ed82backed Bulls11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+203%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043a…97cdbacked Bulls11c486$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.54425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+127.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb06d…77fdbacked Bulls11c477$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+160.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Celtics42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb24f…bd4fbacked Bulls11c474$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid+48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15eb…95cabacked Bulls11c470$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.3650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+117%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c17…1f3ebacked Bulls11c466$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+103.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6f…8012backed Bulls11c466$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+156.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Bulls7c461$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7345251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Bulls7c461$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7311150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd824…480abacked Bulls11c450$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcce…405bbacked Bulls11c444$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.16450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+180.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Bulls12c416.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6727631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Bulls22c413.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1214941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bulls7c404.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.367502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Bulls10c404.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.236229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Celtics78c400$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31223835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8f3ebacked Bulls11c389$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+354.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Bulls14c379.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.781656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+69.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2746…edc4backed Bulls11c369$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Bulls14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.144928.6%14 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Bulls7c350$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.521723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Bulls12c337.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.989338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.