TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$646,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2863…0e3ebacked Jazz30c67,857$20,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,239.7115741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Timberwolves69c42,394$29,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,142.0319451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz33c39,413$12,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,994.0665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves74c25,336$18,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,616.1547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves70c25,111$17,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,533.371,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves72c19,973$14,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,539.4111164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Timberwolves69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.755379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Jazz25c13,515$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.3334425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz36c11,753$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.372241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Timberwolves70c8,847$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.739868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc185…7f77backed Jazz0c8,711$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6660…647cbacked Timberwolves68c8,300$5,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz30c8,276$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.9637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz30c7,278$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.431,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Jazz32c7,215$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.7147848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Timberwolves70c7,010$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.1813731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz30c6,757$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz33c6,049$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.2661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Timberwolves70c5,714$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.295267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz30c5,683$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.861,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Timberwolves79c5,657$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.5814057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves74c4,779$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.3836057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Jazz28c4,457$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.963745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves64c4,450$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.2829652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad8…da84backed Jazz32c4,245$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+209.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves71c4,059$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz1c4,050$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.531,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5686…78febacked Jazz32c3,921$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Jazz31c3,630$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.4817047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Timberwolves68c3,521$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.6110058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c21…69debacked Timberwolves58c3,493$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Timberwolves57c3,392$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.8117044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves67c3,354$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.239849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves58c3,299$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.6661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc8…3900backed Timberwolves64c3,285$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.661844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz1c3,225$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.458783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz33c3,073$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves67c3,053$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.0536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Timberwolves69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9304261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz1c3,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves67c2,910$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.9834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves65c2,722$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.5716532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jazz31c2,500$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78233945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x829a…4cd5backed Jazz30c2,480$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d70…9a6fbacked Timberwolves70c2,412$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Jazz33c2,278$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa14d…d4d8backed Jazz28c2,245$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Timberwolves69c2,189$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.889572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves70c2,163$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.5450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d79…4725backed Jazz35c2,137$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.831421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz27c2,096$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.335,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Jazz34c2,053$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.688540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Jazz38c2,037$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.672528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz1c2,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves67c1,997$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.7912663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Jazz31c1,910$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9914161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Timberwolves67c1,902$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.551442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…fb2bbacked Timberwolves70c1,837$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.07666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz31c1,836$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.381,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Timberwolves69c1,777$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9231935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Jazz33c1,745$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.726245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Timberwolves58c1,731$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.5321338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c83…bd2abacked Timberwolves69c1,653$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3c…502dbacked Jazz31c1,596$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Timberwolves60c1,537$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.233743.2%16 W · 21 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Timberwolves68c1,463$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.3114563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…755dbacked Timberwolves70c1,411$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.813476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Timberwolves65c1,382$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.1445135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Jazz27c1,382$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.856829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz59c1,367$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.5427631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Timberwolves71c1,363$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1821455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz2c1,344$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.25502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz33c1,209$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Jazz30c1,160$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.976943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8914…b477backed Jazz31c1,155$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves72c1,115$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Jazz31c1,030$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4762349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves72c1,006$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Timberwolves70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Timberwolves70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30034447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Timberwolves70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Timberwolves69c958.2$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.048252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Timberwolves65c920$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.27149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz19c900$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8236434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz31c880.97$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Timberwolves66c880$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.59534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz54c779.49$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Timberwolves80c771.12$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.133568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz31c725.97$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8987647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Jazz56c719.95$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.715358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744b…6132backed Timberwolves69c719.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67dc…75ffbacked Timberwolves72c698.16$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves68c665.45$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9451037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…d794backed Timberwolves72c634.51$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Timberwolves68c583.9$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Timberwolves54c573.22$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2223956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Timberwolves69c565$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.