NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd086b15d2b1466e8ce734999c2e94a569ea72cdb5bed9918cd47905f845990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Jazz, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Jazz | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa1…740cbacked Jazz | 0c | 10,257$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 13c | 8,369$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 7c | 6,994$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.51 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Jazz | 10c | 6,459$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.91 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Jazz | 9c | 4,617$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.52 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…60fbbacked Jazz | 11c | 4,558$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 9c | 4,478$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.02 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 11c | 4,144$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.14 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Jazz | 3c | 3,376$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz | 21c | 3,242$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.8 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz | 12c | 3,146$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.02 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…5d7bbacked Jazz | 11c | 3,080$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 11c | 3,030$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz | 9c | 3,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.04 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8f39backed Jazz | 11c | 2,700$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz | 12c | 2,625$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.91 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Jazz | 9c | 2,510$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf441…ffddbacked Jazz | 10c | 2,310$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Jazz | 8c | 2,222$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Jazz | 16c | 1,700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 20c | 1,561$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Jazz | 7c | 1,521$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 10c | 1,509$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 10c | 1,497$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz | 10c | 1,455$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 1c | 1,354$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jazz | 4c | 1,013$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Jazz | 4c | 853.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Jazz | 10c | 820$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Jazz | 11c | 772.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Jazz | 5c | 599.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Jazz | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…451fbacked Jazz | 11c | 581.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Jazz | 15c | 512.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz | 3c | 500.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Jazz | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cavaliers | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Jazz | 10c | 499.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4423backed Jazz | 11c | 490.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Jazz | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Jazz | 12c | 410.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Jazz | 14c | 370$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Jazz | 11c | 345.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Jazz | 11c | 336.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Jazz | 23c | 311$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…969bbacked Jazz | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Jazz | 11c | 271.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Jazz | 9c | 269.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Jazz | 6c | 267.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Jazz | 9c | 241.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…fe13backed Jazz | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…889cbacked Jazz | 19c | 202.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Jazz | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Jazz | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…1c16backed Jazz | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…a77ebacked Jazz | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Jazz | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 174.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Jazz | 11c | 169.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Jazz | 12c | 162.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9915backed Jazz | 16c | 158.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Jazz | 18c | 150.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Jazz | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…28d4backed Jazz | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Jazz | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz | 9c | 137.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 14c | 123.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…d77bbacked Jazz | 11c | 115.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…768dbacked Jazz | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…fab2backed Jazz | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583a…a5a7backed Jazz | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Jazz | 11c | 109.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Jazz | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8bfdbacked Jazz | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…dc1abacked Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…9542backed Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…9970backed Jazz | 16c | 63.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…7765backed Cavaliers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…84d9backed Cavaliers | 79c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.