NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7faea1394a4389ee15fdfb2e02221fcd946a9bc35eac2016ca0f0b7f888ee671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 21c | 57,158$11,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,718.61 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 78c | 32,292$25,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.22 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 17c | 16,808$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans | 14c | 15,306$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.02 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pelicans | 21c | 11,302$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.64 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 10,000$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.97 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 18c | 8,946$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.51 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 18c | 7,600$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.45 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Pelicans | 15c | 5,090$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.9 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.25 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Pelicans | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 10c | 4,700$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 15c | 4,091$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.79 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Pelicans | 3c | 3,125$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans | 18c | 3,072$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.82 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Pelicans | 18c | 2,832$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.7 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Pelicans | 24c | 2,452$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Pelicans | 21c | 2,305$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.33 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pelicans | 25c | 2,038$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans | 17c | 2,001$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.12 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…5c3cbacked Pelicans | 18c | 1,944$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,876$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pelicans | 14c | 1,716$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Pelicans | 17c | 1,700$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,690$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed Pelicans | 13c | 1,631$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,575$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,535$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Pelicans | 9c | 1,458$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…c60dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,430$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,380$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,249$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pelicans | 17c | 1,086$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…595fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 1,083$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans | 14c | 1,028$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…003ebacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Pelicans | 8c | 962.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans | 2c | 946$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans | 11c | 913.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Pelicans | 12c | 849.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans | 11c | 835.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…e11bbacked Pelicans | 10c | 795.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +1,272.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Pelicans | 13c | 780.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Pelicans | 17c | 769.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Pelicans | 28c | 637.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pelicans | 15c | 622.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6a1bbacked Pelicans | 18c | 607.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pelicans | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 561.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Pelicans | 17c | 559.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Pelicans | 19c | 524.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Pelicans | 16c | 514.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 505$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…ca9abacked Celtics | 80c | 480.56$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Pelicans | 17c | 476.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…bdcbbacked Pelicans | 18c | 472.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Pelicans | 16c | 469$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans | 16c | 469$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…f19ebacked Pelicans | 18c | 461.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans | 16c | 445$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Pelicans | 17c | 435.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 61c | 420.4$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Pelicans | 48c | 418.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Pelicans | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans | 15c | 341.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 18c | 337.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Pelicans | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Pelicans | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Pelicans | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pelicans | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Pelicans | 11c | 289.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 277.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Pelicans | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked Pelicans | 6c | 273.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Pelicans | 16c | 268$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…ba4cbacked Pelicans | 19c | 267.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Pelicans | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Pelicans | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 5c | 249.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Pelicans | 19c | 246.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 6c | 229$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Pelicans | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…c7b7backed Pelicans | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Pelicans | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Pelicans | 5c | 209.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pelicans | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Pelicans | 11c | 199.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Pelicans | 24c | 183.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pelicans | 17c | 180.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans | 16c | 180$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Pelicans | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Pelicans | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.