NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x461ee25c7f0c310f6243f9c78b33313e1885d48ae8ff944b28d895325aac1214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Bucks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf911…0596backed Bucks | 0c | 20,480$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…88dabacked Bucks | 25c | 10,021$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…5af2backed Bucks | 25c | 10,013$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…65d1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 10,003$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ae…e398backed Cavaliers | 75c | 10,002$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…fc0ebacked Bucks | 9c | 6,392$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 5,576$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.6 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Cavaliers | 77c | 4,699$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.82 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bucks | 26c | 4,568$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Bucks | 15c | 4,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks | 23c | 4,200$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.95 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Cavaliers | 78c | 4,120$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.99 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Cavaliers | 80c | 3,503$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.79 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Bucks | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 25c | 3,193$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.04 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 13c | 3,111$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.32 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bucks | 1c | 2,984$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…ec22backed Bucks | 0c | 2,780$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 21c | 2,720$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.1 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,547$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.27 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…0e4fbacked Bucks | 23c | 2,541$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…acf9backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,514$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.9 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Bucks | 24c | 2,512$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.89 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…e290backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,508$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +209.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…270ebacked Bucks | 23c | 2,421$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked Bucks | 23c | 2,218$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…4527backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,175$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…014bbacked Bucks | 24c | 2,123$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 2,105$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,019$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.23 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…b459backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,008$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 2,002$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 2c | 1,877$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,858$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 2c | 1,833$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…e341backed Bucks | 24c | 1,691$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Bucks | 24c | 1,644$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 21c | 1,632$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.57 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 23c | 1,541$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Bucks | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bucks | 3c | 1,463$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Bucks | 24c | 1,450$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Bucks | 2c | 1,438$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 1,325$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Bucks | 12c | 1,300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…2dd9backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,281$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.47 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Bucks | 23c | 1,209$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bucks | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 22c | 1,100$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4721…4389backed Bucks | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Bucks | 2c | 1,074$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,041$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,016$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bucks | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 24c | 1,000$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…66e1backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bucks | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Bucks | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…532abacked Cavaliers | 77c | 999.93$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Bucks | 23c | 976.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bucks | 10c | 914.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…5139backed Cavaliers | 79c | 826.49$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…616abacked Bucks | 23c | 813.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Bucks | 10c | 755.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Bucks | 5c | 726.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…bef9backed Cavaliers | 79c | 718.25$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…8923backed Cavaliers | 79c | 690.23$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…afb9backed Cavaliers | 79c | 688.84$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Bucks | 21c | 678.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Bucks | 22c | 673.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4da9backed Bucks | 24c | 664.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Cavaliers | 80c | 662.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 642.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Cavaliers | 76c | 622.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…bfb5backed Cavaliers | 80c | 615.69$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2228…9683backed Cavaliers | 79c | 615.62$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Bucks | 13c | 599.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…3c97backed Cavaliers | 78c | 598.32$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2e8abacked Cavaliers | 80c | 577.81$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…e256backed Cavaliers | 78c | 552.1$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…6cbfbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 550.24$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks | 17c | 535.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Bucks | 23c | 520.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…72d9backed Bucks | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Bucks | 22c | 510$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40df…3ad2backed Bucks | 24c | 501.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…f09cbacked Bucks | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 489.64$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…c6e2backed Bucks | 22c | 488.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 485.34$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…0e4abacked Cavaliers | 79c | 482.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Bucks | 22c | 480$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…da75backed Bucks | 22c | 465$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers | 68c | 453.49$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.