NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa6e8505bd93bc0a67abbab16c3515f7fea40a2ef3b99c3a283efb31eee7855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Twolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,610,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,737,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,610,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d72…f2a1backed Twolves | 31c | 191,374$59,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,335.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Lakers | 80c | 169,585$134,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,675.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa168…f07bbacked Lakers | 69c | 147,000$101,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,569.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4305…30d5backed Twolves | 31c | 145,000$44,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Twolves | 32c | 103,901$33,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,471.34 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Lakers | 69c | 96,925$66,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,046.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Twolves | 31c | 96,719$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.96 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Twolves | 31c | 79,998$24,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,699.26 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Twolves | 10c | 61,857$6,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,093.84 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Twolves | 30c | 58,949$17,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,834.66 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…7ef2backed Lakers | 69c | 57,800$39,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,918 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 68c | 36,493$24,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,677.62 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Twolves | 13c | 36,157$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Lakers | 68c | 27,500$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…adc0backed Twolves | 32c | 25,136$7,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,953.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twolves | 5c | 23,524$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.26 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Lakers | 68c | 20,444$13,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,542.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Lakers | 68c | 19,321$13,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.84 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 68c | 19,200$13,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,052 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Lakers | 67c | 15,113$10,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Twolves | 30c | 15,096$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.81 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lakers | 78c | 14,530$11,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.11 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Twolves | 31c | 13,753$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.07 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Lakers | 69c | 13,100$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Twolves | 32c | 10,100$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Twolves | 0c | 10,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Twolves | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lakers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…b708backed Twolves | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lakers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…db49backed Lakers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twolves | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1dafbacked Twolves | 23c | 9,480$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 69c | 8,803$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.02 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers | 78c | 8,663$6,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.85 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Lakers | 69c | 7,971$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lakers | 69c | 6,465$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.09 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Twolves | 12c | 6,278$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 68c | 6,189$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.25 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Twolves | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 68c | 5,345$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca9…bef1backed Twolves | 32c | 5,077$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 68c | 5,026$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.7 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Twolves | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Twolves | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twolves | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Lakers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.9 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 68c | 4,800$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Twolves | 13c | 4,780$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.12 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twolves | 15c | 4,507$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Lakers | 68c | 3,888$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Twolves | 21c | 3,700$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Lakers | 69c | 3,333$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.33 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Twolves | 32c | 3,254$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.33 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Twolves | 32c | 3,222$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Twolves | 26c | 3,198$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twolves | 1c | 3,150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Twolves | 31c | 3,097$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Twolves | 9c | 2,679$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Twolves | 18c | 2,534$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 68c | 2,500$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Twolves | 7c | 2,500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 67c | 2,462$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.42 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 67c | 2,458$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.52 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Twolves | 17c | 2,403$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Lakers | 69c | 2,391$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twolves | 1c | 2,315$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Lakers | 69c | 2,300$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lakers | 75c | 2,299$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…e0babacked Lakers | 69c | 2,250$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Twolves | 14c | 2,215$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…7548backed Twolves | 32c | 2,163$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Lakers | 69c | 2,150$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.57 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Twolves | 10c | 1,796$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Twolves | 32c | 1,784$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Twolves | 24c | 1,664$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.25 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 69c | 1,645$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Twolves | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Twolves | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twolves | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…d1b0backed Twolves | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lakers | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Twolves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Lakers | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Twolves | 17c | 1,417$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Twolves | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Twolves | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Twolves | 2c | 1,216$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lakers | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Lakers | 70c | 1,133$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Twolves | 17c | 1,111$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Twolves | 5c | 1,110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Twolves | 31c | 1,100$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lakers | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Twolves | 11c | 1,089$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…4c15backed Twolves | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.