NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe09cb09cf1bcd4bbdeb64f7537c3b78a7549ef929aa53181b251069bf7cd6706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Pacers | 55c | 37,059$20,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,582.53 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 57c | 15,525$8,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,612.85 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Warriors | 40c | 12,088$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.81 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 59c | 10,042$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Warriors | 58c | 9,344$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.54 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 63c | 8,846$5,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 41c | 8,158$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 35c | 6,272$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.93 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 68c | 5,950$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.99 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Pacers | 32c | 4,982$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.52 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 67c | 4,531$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.1 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 52c | 3,494$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.09 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Warriors | 63c | 2,631$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,551$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.34 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors | 42c | 2,508$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.88 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.95 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pacers | 53c | 2,405$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.75 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Pacers | 63c | 2,196$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.26 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Pacers | 45c | 2,037$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.45 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Pacers | 44c | 2,024$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.97 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…5ba3backed Warriors | 62c | 1,920$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Pacers | 33c | 1,881$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.92 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors | 68c | 1,771$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc5…9285backed Warriors | 34c | 1,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 66c | 1,491$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.76 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pacers | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.19 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 33c | 1,419$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.44 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 53c | 1,380$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.97 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Pacers | 59c | 1,332$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.05 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers | 45c | 1,227$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.75 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Pacers | 59c | 1,170$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.45 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Warriors | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Warriors | 2c | 1,121$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Warriors | 43c | 1,117$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.47 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,080$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.74 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pacers | 34c | 985.01$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.47 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Pacers | 24c | 961.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.75 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…3916backed Pacers | 20c | 960$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +263.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Pacers | 47c | 875.36$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.94 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Pacers | 61c | 856.6$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.82 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Warriors | 63c | 793.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Pacers | 57c | 770$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Pacers | 39c | 749.6$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.26 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pacers | 46c | 732.42$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Warriors | 53c | 693.37$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Warriors | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Warriors | 50c | 665.66$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Warriors | 26c | 657.79$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 36c | 654.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.93 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 59c | 638$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 70c | 616.43$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.42 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pacers | 35c | 612.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.39 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Pacers | 57c | 590.15$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 35c | 574.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.83 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Warriors | 70c | 566.12$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.28 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5a1fbacked Warriors | 43c | 551.16$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Pacers | 34c | 550.3$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…540ebacked Warriors | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 32c | 540.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pacers | 34c | 508$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 69c | 500$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Warriors | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Warriors | 40c | 476$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Pacers | 33c | 455$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…969bbacked Pacers | 20c | 450$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Pacers | 57c | 444$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e19…4380backed Pacers | 35c | 440$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…2726backed Warriors | 66c | 440$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Pacers | 77c | 429.35$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 57c | 410.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Warriors | 49c | 409.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Warriors | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Warriors | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Warriors | 48c | 398.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Warriors | 55c | 394.11$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Warriors | 60c | 380.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Pacers | 73c | 367$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…1160backed Pacers | 79c | 360.24$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Pacers | 34c | 350$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Warriors | 63c | 350$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Pacers | 56c | 340.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Warriors | 68c | 333.46$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pacers | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Warriors | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Pacers | 33c | 333.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…e4babacked Pacers | 34c | 316.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Warriors | 66c | 307.6$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pacers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Warriors | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…aa62backed Pacers | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 66c | 293.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Warriors | 69c | 291.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Warriors | 67c | 290$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pacers | 36c | 281.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers | 34c | 250.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Warriors | 51c | 244.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Warriors | 63c | 241.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…2274backed Warriors | 73c | 231.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.