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Mls · resolved market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed Yes23c73,882$17,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,274.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed No78c50,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c20,593$15,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,941.4177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c8,902$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.71,44936.8%533 W · 916 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No76c5,659$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.1268250.7%346 W · 336 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes3c4,162$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No76c3,200$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,27847.9%612 W · 666 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes31c2,833$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.6619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes15c2,131$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2399645.4%452 W · 544 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes22c1,883$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.368563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes22c1,883$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.3619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c1,530$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1648545.2%219 W · 266 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c1,283$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0497646.2%451 W · 525 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes20c1,272$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No76c1,184$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1611055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c1,100$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25373150.8%371 W · 360 L-3.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c927.25$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5670549.8%351 W · 354 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No76c700$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16812661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No78c544.75$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No76c520$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No76c520$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes22c503.66$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7971843.5%312 W · 406 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes21c470.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes27c469.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.97564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes23c416$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.745131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes22c371.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7618655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes39c354.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2629370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No76c320$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No76c312$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No77c294.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.852763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0196…75b9backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No76c236$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6435349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…6253backed Yes9c235$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes10c212$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.914924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No80c182$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.418967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes7c161.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed No78c157.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No76c156$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes22c136.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No73c135.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0623548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes18c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0936051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes15c122.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0812839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes22c122$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3518774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No79c119.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes29c118.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1997256.5%549 W · 423 L+71.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No80c114$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes36c111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3345047.1%212 W · 238 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No77c101.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.753438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No77c90$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3955249.3%272 W · 280 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No65c78.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes27c73.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7929460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes22c67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8819960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.817751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b93…9915backed Yes25c59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes36c52.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.513259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c46.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1980549.9%402 W · 403 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2645240.5%183 W · 269 L-18.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No75c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2512343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed No78c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No77c35.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.143452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No76c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.161,30651.2%669 W · 637 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No65c30.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7712571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…c267backed Yes38c28.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No77c27.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.374369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No80c23.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6253140.5%215 W · 316 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No67c20.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.987354.6%477 W · 396 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23,01843.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L-28.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked No77c18.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.265464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No77c15.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.561478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.