TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,230,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,244,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,230,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed No51c870,508$442,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,020.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes49c621,417$306,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315,243.3613553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No46c115,949$53,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,415.259649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes49c82,276$40,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,960.564845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes49c55,119$27,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,110.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c48,207$24,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,965.0977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes52c24,764$12,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,978.563056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes55c15,903$8,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.0298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes50c12,428$6,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,214333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes51c11,542$5,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,617.2571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c10,691$5,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed No56c7,882$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes55c7,018$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c6,688$3,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.7297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes56c6,117$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.3633346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No15c5,928$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.141376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c5,032$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.351,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16af…2cf0backed Yes54c4,773$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c4,549$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.191,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No51c4,135$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.5719560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes52c4,055$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.3525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No37c4,020$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.7299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes53c3,931$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.1918655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No43c3,187$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.4123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes51c2,974$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.955147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes52c2,889$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.899854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c2,882$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.8341339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed No1c2,802$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No47c2,397$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.832343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes54c2,265$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.8116657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed No57c2,088$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Yes54c1,820$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Yes50c1,800$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.894250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No61c1,798$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.867974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No45c1,731$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.71,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c1,677$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes55c1,675$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes54c1,667$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.6610450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes55c1,620$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.652639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes53c1,618$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.465056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes60c1,598$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5510644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No50c1,577$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.727058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes39c1,539$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.4711454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes53c1,503$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.4953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9927837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes54c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6448547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes56c1,317$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.2448344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked Yes54c1,290$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes53c1,176$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.628563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes53c1,111$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.0872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…40bfbacked Yes54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4906100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+121.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes54c998.67$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes54c997.31$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.7610655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No49c995.77$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Yes49c989.71$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes54c988.81$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.8513942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes53c929.67$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No49c915.4$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9417753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes54c876.41$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.831838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes55c874.75$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.261,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes56c804.81$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2553040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3523348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes52c754.62$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9120043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes51c743.91$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.115131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7412146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No56c699.98$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3629370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes50c679$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c635.48$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.097549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes53c625$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked No36c612.75$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No44c565.82$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7213952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c543.98$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes51c536.98$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.161353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.713865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes58c521.26$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.936100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes54c518.06$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.315664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes51c476.1$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c475.35$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes52c458$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.551,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c391$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.224548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Yes52c383.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+143%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes56c380.01$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes51c369.96$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No48c349.39$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes51c345.45$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.984450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes76c341.18$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.625068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.