NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda57b7f7037334c5b53c1362d359c9a2c7bb57017077e7319c8984cbf4abc03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Rockets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Rockets | 18c | 73,583$13,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,169.68 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Rockets | 34c | 39,931$13,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,760 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 26c | 26,200$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,845.58 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Rockets | 17c | 19,777$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.59 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 68c | 19,308$13,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.26 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 64c | 16,626$10,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.16 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Thunder | 70c | 14,183$9,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.31 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Thunder | 67c | 13,579$9,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…0b03backed Rockets | 33c | 12,133$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 33c | 11,155$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…77eebacked Rockets | 33c | 10,665$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…385abacked Rockets | 32c | 10,069$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…f348backed Rockets | 32c | 10,064$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…a6febacked Thunder | 68c | 10,030$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…5653backed Thunder | 68c | 10,023$6,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…c97bbacked Rockets | 32c | 10,013$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…33ffbacked Thunder | 68c | 10,009$6,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +211.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…75e2backed Thunder | 70c | 9,857$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Thunder | 69c | 9,478$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.64 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Thunder | 69c | 9,420$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…b7a4backed Rockets | 32c | 8,239$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 31c | 8,116$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.69 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 35c | 7,812$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.11 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Thunder | 69c | 7,500$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 36c | 7,138$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.49 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Thunder | 70c | 6,572$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.87 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…6286backed Rockets | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Thunder | 55c | 6,000$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 5c | 5,959$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.22 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…c614backed Thunder | 70c | 5,786$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Thunder | 70c | 5,761$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Rockets | 26c | 5,736$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.52 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3348…c819backed Thunder | 70c | 5,721$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…c4d3backed Thunder | 70c | 5,560$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…02fcbacked Rockets | 33c | 5,540$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…7a8dbacked Thunder | 70c | 5,479$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Thunder | 65c | 5,429$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.15 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 66c | 5,030$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…7226backed Thunder | 63c | 4,932$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…4e3bbacked Thunder | 70c | 4,571$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…98f8backed Rockets | 33c | 4,440$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Thunder | 69c | 4,278$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.26 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Rockets | 29c | 3,834$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…49bbbacked Rockets | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Thunder | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…ec22backed Rockets | 1c | 3,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 31c | 3,078$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.06 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Thunder | 67c | 3,000$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Rockets | 32c | 2,885$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 37c | 2,878$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.49 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…485cbacked Rockets | 8c | 2,853$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…da3abacked Rockets | 47c | 2,774$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Thunder | 69c | 2,711$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.56 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Thunder | 68c | 2,701$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Thunder | 65c | 2,594$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.31 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Thunder | 64c | 2,532$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.48 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 1c | 2,524$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…2609backed Thunder | 69c | 2,356$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Rockets | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Thunder | 69c | 2,271$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.42 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Thunder | 67c | 2,128$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.84 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Rockets | 2c | 2,122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Rockets | 14c | 2,056$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…161dbacked Rockets | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Rockets | 30c | 1,977$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Rockets | 7c | 1,968$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbde…6403backed Rockets | 7c | 1,959$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd19…720bbacked Rockets | 33c | 1,799$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…f07ebacked Rockets | 1c | 1,794$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…e9debacked Rockets | 32c | 1,641$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Rockets | 15c | 1,616$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.07 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rockets | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Thunder | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…a8e3backed Rockets | 31c | 1,584$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 31c | 1,580$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.86 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Rockets | 32c | 1,573$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.45 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…4523backed Rockets | 33c | 1,566$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Thunder | 71c | 1,564$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.42 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Rockets | 32c | 1,524$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.77 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Thunder | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Thunder | 69c | 1,499$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Thunder | 70c | 1,489$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.61 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d683backed Rockets | 30c | 1,456$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Thunder | 59c | 1,435$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,433$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Rockets | 30c | 1,400$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Thunder | 70c | 1,398$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…f909backed Rockets | 10c | 1,382$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Rockets | 35c | 1,357$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Thunder | 66c | 1,300$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…46a9backed Thunder | 69c | 1,271$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Rockets | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Rockets | 17c | 1,210$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Rockets | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Thunder | 69c | 1,135$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Thunder | 62c | 1,104$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.36 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.